Roy Cooper holds a commanding position in the 2026 North Carolina Senate race due to consistent polling leads of 7–13 points across recent surveys from sources like Harper, Elon University, and Change Research, reflecting his substantial name recognition advantage as former governor and unified Democratic support in an open-seat contest vacated by retiring Republican Sen. Thom Tillis. Michael Whatley, the Republican nominee and former RNC/NCGOP chair who secured his party's nomination with Trump backing, trails with support often below 43 percent amid lower voter familiarity. Forecasters have accordingly shifted ratings toward a Democratic lean. Potential shifts could arise from late-campaign developments in the final weeks before November 3, including changes in national economic conditions, turnout patterns among key voting blocs, or effective Republican messaging on issues like affordability and border security that narrow Cooper's current edge.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$93,758 Vol.
$93,758 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Roy Cooper (D)
92%
Michael Whatley (R)
8%
$93,758 Vol.
$93,758 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Roy Cooper (D)
$36,565 Vol.
92%
Michael Whatley (R)
$57,193 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm North Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Roy Cooper holds a commanding position in the 2026 North Carolina Senate race due to consistent polling leads of 7–13 points across recent surveys from sources like Harper, Elon University, and Change Research, reflecting his substantial name recognition advantage as former governor and unified Democratic support in an open-seat contest vacated by retiring Republican Sen. Thom Tillis. Michael Whatley, the Republican nominee and former RNC/NCGOP chair who secured his party's nomination with Trump backing, trails with support often below 43 percent amid lower voter familiarity. Forecasters have accordingly shifted ratings toward a Democratic lean. Potential shifts could arise from late-campaign developments in the final weeks before November 3, including changes in national economic conditions, turnout patterns among key voting blocs, or effective Republican messaging on issues like affordability and border security that narrow Cooper's current edge.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm North Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Market Opened: Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
Volume
$93,758End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm North Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Roy Cooper holds a commanding position in the 2026 North Carolina Senate race due to consistent polling leads of 7–13 points across recent surveys from sources like Harper, Elon University, and Change Research, reflecting his substantial name recognition advantage as former governor and unified Democratic support in an open-seat contest vacated by retiring Republican Sen. Thom Tillis. Michael Whatley, the Republican nominee and former RNC/NCGOP chair who secured his party's nomination with Trump backing, trails with support often below 43 percent amid lower voter familiarity. Forecasters have accordingly shifted ratings toward a Democratic lean. Potential shifts could arise from late-campaign developments in the final weeks before November 3, including changes in national economic conditions, turnout patterns among key voting blocs, or effective Republican messaging on issues like affordability and border security that narrow Cooper's current edge.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm North Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$93,758End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Roy Cooper holds a commanding position in the 2026 North Carolina Senate race due to consistent polling leads of 7–13 points across recent surveys from sources like Harper, Elon University, and Change Research, reflecting his substantial name recognition advantage as former governor and unified Democratic support in an open-seat contest vacated by retiring Republican Sen. Thom Tillis. Michael Whatley, the Republican nominee and former RNC/NCGOP chair who secured his party's nomination with Trump backing, trails with support often below 43 percent amid lower voter familiarity. Forecasters have accordingly shifted ratings toward a Democratic lean. Potential shifts could arise from late-campaign developments in the final weeks before November 3, including changes in national economic conditions, turnout patterns among key voting blocs, or effective Republican messaging on issues like affordability and border security that narrow Cooper's current edge.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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