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Florida Democratic Senate Primary Winner

icon for Florida Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Florida Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Josh Weil 0

Alexander Vindman 0

Jennifer Jenkins 0

Angie Nixon 0

Polymarket

$132,358 Vol.

Josh Weil 0

Alexander Vindman 0

Jennifer Jenkins 0

Angie Nixon 0

Polymarket

$132,358 Vol.

Josh Weil

$5,466 Vol.

-

Alexander Vindman

$34,926 Vol.

50%

Jennifer Jenkins

$35,678 Vol.

-

Angie Nixon

$2,081 Vol.

-

Charlie Crist

$2,457 Vol.

-

Alan Grayson

$0 Vol.

-

Joey Atkins

$2,359 Vol.

-

Jared Moskowitz

$49,391 Vol.

-

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Florida. If no 2026 Florida Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Florida Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Alexander Vindman's commanding 83% implied probability in the Florida Democratic U.S. Senate primary reflects his recent ballot qualification on April 23, robust $8.2 million fundraising haul reported earlier this month, and national profile as the army veteran who testified during Donald Trump's first impeachment. The field solidified after Friday's deadline, with Hector Mujica dropping out on April 6 to endorse Vindman, consolidating support ahead of the August 18 primary. Challengers like U.S. Rep. Jared Moskowitz (7%) and state Rep. Angie Nixon (7%) trail due to lower fundraising and narrower bases, while lesser-known candidates like Josh Weil linger below 2%, underscoring trader consensus on Vindman's frontrunner path in this special election for the remainder of the Senate term.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Florida.

If no 2026 Florida Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Florida Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$132,358
End Date
Aug 18, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 2, 2025, 3:41 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Florida. If no 2026 Florida Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Florida Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Florida. If no 2026 Florida Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Florida Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Alexander Vindman's commanding 83% implied probability in the Florida Democratic U.S. Senate primary reflects his recent ballot qualification on April 23, robust $8.2 million fundraising haul reported earlier this month, and national profile as the army veteran who testified during Donald Trump's first impeachment. The field solidified after Friday's deadline, with Hector Mujica dropping out on April 6 to endorse Vindman, consolidating support ahead of the August 18 primary. Challengers like U.S. Rep. Jared Moskowitz (7%) and state Rep. Angie Nixon (7%) trail due to lower fundraising and narrower bases, while lesser-known candidates like Josh Weil linger below 2%, underscoring trader consensus on Vindman's frontrunner path in this special election for the remainder of the Senate term.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Florida.

If no 2026 Florida Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Florida Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$132,358
End Date
Aug 18, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 2, 2025, 3:41 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Florida. If no 2026 Florida Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Florida Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Florida Democratic Senate Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Josh Weil" at 50%, followed by "Alexander Vindman" at 50%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 50¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Florida Democratic Senate Primary Winner" has generated $132.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 2, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Florida Democratic Senate Primary Winner," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Florida Democratic Senate Primary Winner" is "Josh Weil" at 50%, meaning the market assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Alexander Vindman" at 50%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Florida Democratic Senate Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.