Alexander Vindman's commanding 83% implied probability in the Florida Democratic U.S. Senate primary reflects his recent ballot qualification on April 23, robust $8.2 million fundraising haul reported earlier this month, and national profile as the army veteran who testified during Donald Trump's first impeachment. The field solidified after Friday's deadline, with Hector Mujica dropping out on April 6 to endorse Vindman, consolidating support ahead of the August 18 primary. Challengers like U.S. Rep. Jared Moskowitz (7%) and state Rep. Angie Nixon (7%) trail due to lower fundraising and narrower bases, while lesser-known candidates like Josh Weil linger below 2%, underscoring trader consensus on Vindman's frontrunner path in this special election for the remainder of the Senate term.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedJosh Weil 0
Alexander Vindman 0
Jennifer Jenkins 0
Angie Nixon 0
$132,358 Vol.
$132,358 Vol.
Josh Weil
-
Alexander Vindman
50%
Jennifer Jenkins
-
Angie Nixon
-
Charlie Crist
-
Alan Grayson
-
Joey Atkins
-
Jared Moskowitz
-
Josh Weil 0
Alexander Vindman 0
Jennifer Jenkins 0
Angie Nixon 0
$132,358 Vol.
$132,358 Vol.
Josh Weil
-
Alexander Vindman
50%
Jennifer Jenkins
-
Angie Nixon
-
Charlie Crist
-
Alan Grayson
-
Joey Atkins
-
Jared Moskowitz
-
If no 2026 Florida Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Florida Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Market Opened: Dec 2, 2025, 3:41 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Florida Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Florida Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Alexander Vindman's commanding 83% implied probability in the Florida Democratic U.S. Senate primary reflects his recent ballot qualification on April 23, robust $8.2 million fundraising haul reported earlier this month, and national profile as the army veteran who testified during Donald Trump's first impeachment. The field solidified after Friday's deadline, with Hector Mujica dropping out on April 6 to endorse Vindman, consolidating support ahead of the August 18 primary. Challengers like U.S. Rep. Jared Moskowitz (7%) and state Rep. Angie Nixon (7%) trail due to lower fundraising and narrower bases, while lesser-known candidates like Josh Weil linger below 2%, underscoring trader consensus on Vindman's frontrunner path in this special election for the remainder of the Senate term.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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