The "No" side holds a modest edge in this market because winning all four competitive contests simultaneously remains a high bar even with Democratic advantages in several. The core four—Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine—feature open seats or vulnerable incumbents, with recent polling averages showing North Carolina’s Roy Cooper leading by 7–9 points while Michigan and Maine stay within single digits amid candidate shifts. In Maine, the Democratic nominee change following Graham Platner’s campaign suspension introduced fresh uncertainty into a race against Susan Collins. Georgia’s Jon Ossoff maintains a lean-D posture but faces a well-funded Republican challenge in a state Trump carried in 2024. Traders price in the historical difficulty of sweeping multiple battlegrounds in one cycle, where turnout variations, late-cycle developments, or modest Republican overperformance in any single state could prevent a clean sweep.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWill Democrats win all "core four" senate races?
Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?
45% chance
$18,071 Vol.
$18,071 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
45% chance
$18,071 Vol.
$18,071 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a candidate representing the Democratic Party wins the 2026 midterm U.S. Senate elections in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine (inclusive of any run-offs).
A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.The "No" side holds a modest edge in this market because winning all four competitive contests simultaneously remains a high bar even with Democratic advantages in several. The core four—Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine—feature open seats or vulnerable incumbents, with recent polling averages showing North Carolina’s Roy Cooper leading by 7–9 points while Michigan and Maine stay within single digits amid candidate shifts. In Maine, the Democratic nominee change following Graham Platner’s campaign suspension introduced fresh uncertainty into a race against Susan Collins. Georgia’s Jon Ossoff maintains a lean-D posture but faces a well-funded Republican challenge in a state Trump carried in 2024. Traders price in the historical difficulty of sweeping multiple battlegrounds in one cycle, where turnout variations, late-cycle developments, or modest Republican overperformance in any single state could prevent a clean sweep.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a candidate representing the Democratic Party wins the 2026 midterm U.S. Senate elections in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine (inclusive of any run-offs).
A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.
Market Opened: Jan 13, 2026, 6:08 PM ET
Volume
$18,071End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 13, 2026, 6:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if a candidate representing the Democratic Party wins the 2026 midterm U.S. Senate elections in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine (inclusive of any run-offs).
A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.The "No" side holds a modest edge in this market because winning all four competitive contests simultaneously remains a high bar even with Democratic advantages in several. The core four—Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine—feature open seats or vulnerable incumbents, with recent polling averages showing North Carolina’s Roy Cooper leading by 7–9 points while Michigan and Maine stay within single digits amid candidate shifts. In Maine, the Democratic nominee change following Graham Platner’s campaign suspension introduced fresh uncertainty into a race against Susan Collins. Georgia’s Jon Ossoff maintains a lean-D posture but faces a well-funded Republican challenge in a state Trump carried in 2024. Traders price in the historical difficulty of sweeping multiple battlegrounds in one cycle, where turnout variations, late-cycle developments, or modest Republican overperformance in any single state could prevent a clean sweep.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a candidate representing the Democratic Party wins the 2026 midterm U.S. Senate elections in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine (inclusive of any run-offs).
A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.
Volume
$18,071End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 13, 2026, 6:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The "No" side holds a modest edge in this market because winning all four competitive contests simultaneously remains a high bar even with Democratic advantages in several. The core four—Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine—feature open seats or vulnerable incumbents, with recent polling averages showing North Carolina’s Roy Cooper leading by 7–9 points while Michigan and Maine stay within single digits amid candidate shifts. In Maine, the Democratic nominee change following Graham Platner’s campaign suspension introduced fresh uncertainty into a race against Susan Collins. Georgia’s Jon Ossoff maintains a lean-D posture but faces a well-funded Republican challenge in a state Trump carried in 2024. Traders price in the historical difficulty of sweeping multiple battlegrounds in one cycle, where turnout variations, late-cycle developments, or modest Republican overperformance in any single state could prevent a clean sweep.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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