Byron Donalds secured the Republican nomination for Florida governor in the August 18, 2026 primary with approximately 47.8% of the vote, outpacing Jay Collins and a fragmented field of rivals. His consistent lead in statewide polling, bolstered by President Trump’s endorsement and a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $90 million, consolidated support among GOP primary voters focused on continuity with conservative priorities on education, taxes, and parental rights. Attacks from candidates including Collins, Paul Renner, and James Fishback failed to close the gap ahead of the vote. The outcome aligned with pre-election polling averages in the mid-to-high 40s, reflecting trader consensus on Donalds’ frontrunner status driven by institutional and donor momentum rather than a majority share.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$1,982 Vol.
Aug 18, 2026
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$1,982 Vol.
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Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Byron Donalds wins at least the specified percentage of the valid votes cast in the Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official statewide results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Byron Donalds secured the Republican nomination for Florida governor in the August 18, 2026 primary with approximately 47.8% of the vote, outpacing Jay Collins and a fragmented field of rivals. His consistent lead in statewide polling, bolstered by President Trump’s endorsement and a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $90 million, consolidated support among GOP primary voters focused on continuity with conservative priorities on education, taxes, and parental rights. Attacks from candidates including Collins, Paul Renner, and James Fishback failed to close the gap ahead of the vote. The outcome aligned with pre-election polling averages in the mid-to-high 40s, reflecting trader consensus on Donalds’ frontrunner status driven by institutional and donor momentum rather than a majority share.
Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Byron Donalds wins at least the specified percentage of the valid votes cast in the Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official statewide results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Byron Donalds wins at least the specified percentage of the valid votes cast in the Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official statewide results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Market Opened: Aug 18, 2026, 3:12 PM ET
Volume
$1,982End Date
Aug 18, 2026Market Opened
Aug 18, 2026, 3:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Byron Donalds wins at least the specified percentage of the valid votes cast in the Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official statewide results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Byron Donalds secured the Republican nomination for Florida governor in the August 18, 2026 primary with approximately 47.8% of the vote, outpacing Jay Collins and a fragmented field of rivals. His consistent lead in statewide polling, bolstered by President Trump’s endorsement and a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $90 million, consolidated support among GOP primary voters focused on continuity with conservative priorities on education, taxes, and parental rights. Attacks from candidates including Collins, Paul Renner, and James Fishback failed to close the gap ahead of the vote. The outcome aligned with pre-election polling averages in the mid-to-high 40s, reflecting trader consensus on Donalds’ frontrunner status driven by institutional and donor momentum rather than a majority share.
Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Byron Donalds wins at least the specified percentage of the valid votes cast in the Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official statewide results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Byron Donalds wins at least the specified percentage of the valid votes cast in the Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official statewide results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Volume
$1,982End Date
Aug 18, 2026Market Opened
Aug 18, 2026, 3:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Byron Donalds secured the Republican nomination for Florida governor in the August 18, 2026 primary with approximately 47.8% of the vote, outpacing Jay Collins and a fragmented field of rivals. His consistent lead in statewide polling, bolstered by President Trump’s endorsement and a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $90 million, consolidated support among GOP primary voters focused on continuity with conservative priorities on education, taxes, and parental rights. Attacks from candidates including Collins, Paul Renner, and James Fishback failed to close the gap ahead of the vote. The outcome aligned with pre-election polling averages in the mid-to-high 40s, reflecting trader consensus on Donalds’ frontrunner status driven by institutional and donor momentum rather than a majority share.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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