Incumbent Democratic Senator Ben Ray Luján secured his party's nomination in the June 2, 2026 primary with over 83 percent of the vote and faces Republican write-in nominee Larry Marker in the November general election. New Mexico has not elected a Republican to the Senate since 2002, and nonpartisan race ratings classify the contest as solid or safe Democratic. Limited polling and the absence of a competitive Republican primary or strong general election challenger reinforce trader consensus around the Democratic outcome. Potential shifts remain possible through late-cycle developments such as a major candidate health event, unforeseen scandal, or significant national political realignment that alters turnout or voter priorities in the state.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição para o Senado do Novo México
Vencedor da eleição para o Senado do Novo México
$17,109 Vol.
$17,109 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democrata
95%
Republicano
3%
$17,109 Vol.
$17,109 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democrata
$8,229 Vol.
95%
Republicano
$8,880 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Mexico U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Senator Ben Ray Luján secured his party's nomination in the June 2, 2026 primary with over 83 percent of the vote and faces Republican write-in nominee Larry Marker in the November general election. New Mexico has not elected a Republican to the Senate since 2002, and nonpartisan race ratings classify the contest as solid or safe Democratic. Limited polling and the absence of a competitive Republican primary or strong general election challenger reinforce trader consensus around the Democratic outcome. Potential shifts remain possible through late-cycle developments such as a major candidate health event, unforeseen scandal, or significant national political realignment that alters turnout or voter priorities in the state.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Mexico U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado Aberto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
Volume
$17,109Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Mexico U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Senator Ben Ray Luján secured his party's nomination in the June 2, 2026 primary with over 83 percent of the vote and faces Republican write-in nominee Larry Marker in the November general election. New Mexico has not elected a Republican to the Senate since 2002, and nonpartisan race ratings classify the contest as solid or safe Democratic. Limited polling and the absence of a competitive Republican primary or strong general election challenger reinforce trader consensus around the Democratic outcome. Potential shifts remain possible through late-cycle developments such as a major candidate health event, unforeseen scandal, or significant national political realignment that alters turnout or voter priorities in the state.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Mexico U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$17,109Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Senator Ben Ray Luján secured his party's nomination in the June 2, 2026 primary with over 83 percent of the vote and faces Republican write-in nominee Larry Marker in the November general election. New Mexico has not elected a Republican to the Senate since 2002, and nonpartisan race ratings classify the contest as solid or safe Democratic. Limited polling and the absence of a competitive Republican primary or strong general election challenger reinforce trader consensus around the Democratic outcome. Potential shifts remain possible through late-cycle developments such as a major candidate health event, unforeseen scandal, or significant national political realignment that alters turnout or voter priorities in the state.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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