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icon for Who will place first in the Alaska Governor primary?

Who will place first in the Alaska Governor primary?

icon for Who will place first in the Alaska Governor primary?

Who will place first in the Alaska Governor primary?

Matt Claman 38%

Destry J. Payne Sr. 38%

Treg Taylor 37%

Click Bishop 37%

Polymarket
NEW

Matt Claman 38%

Destry J. Payne Sr. 38%

Treg Taylor 37%

Click Bishop 37%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Matt Claman

Matt Claman

$25 Vol.

38%

icon for Destry J. Payne Sr.

Destry J. Payne Sr.

$20 Vol.

38%

icon for Treg Taylor

Treg Taylor

$20 Vol.

37%

icon for Click Bishop

Click Bishop

$20 Vol.

37%

icon for Edna DeVries

Edna DeVries

$20 Vol.

37%

icon for Shelley Hughes

Shelley Hughes

$54 Vol.

37%

icon for Hank Kroll

Hank Kroll

$51 Vol.

37%

icon for James Parkin

James Parkin

$25 Vol.

37%

icon for Bill Walker

Bill Walker

$20 Vol.

37%

icon for Adam Crum

Adam Crum

$20 Vol.

36%

icon for Matt Heilala

Matt Heilala

$51 Vol.

36%

icon for Bernadette Wilson

Bernadette Wilson

$20 Vol.

36%

icon for Bruce Walden

Bruce Walden

$50 Vol.

36%

icon for Dave Bronson

Dave Bronson

$20 Vol.

35%

icon for Lesil McGuire

Lesil McGuire

$53 Vol.

35%

icon for Jessica Faircloth

Jessica Faircloth

$20 Vol.

34%

icon for Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins

$40 Vol.

25%

icon for Gregg Brelsford

Gregg Brelsford

$80 Vol.

25%

icon for Tom Begich

Tom Begich

$148 Vol.

26%

icon for Nancy Dahlstrom

Nancy Dahlstrom

$80 Vol.

20%

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the most votes in the non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the Division of Elections. Alaska's open nonpartisan top-four primary on August 18 features a fragmented field of 17 candidates, with no dominant frontrunner and several Republicans including Click Bishop, Dave Bronson, Edna DeVries, and Adam Crum competing alongside Democrats Tom Begich and Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins plus independents such as Bill Walker. The system advances the top four vote-getters to the general election regardless of party, which spreads support and keeps first-place probabilities closely contested. Recent candidate forums, speed-dating-style voter events in Anchorage, and early voting have highlighted name recognition and turnout efforts among key blocs without producing clear separation. Late shifts in ranked-choice preferences or turnout surprises among independents and crossover voters could still reorder the finish in the final days.

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska.

This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the most votes in the non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the Division of Elections.
Volume
$837
End Date
Aug 18, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 6:08 PM ET
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the most votes in the non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the Division of Elections.
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the most votes in the non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the Division of Elections. Alaska's open nonpartisan top-four primary on August 18 features a fragmented field of 17 candidates, with no dominant frontrunner and several Republicans including Click Bishop, Dave Bronson, Edna DeVries, and Adam Crum competing alongside Democrats Tom Begich and Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins plus independents such as Bill Walker. The system advances the top four vote-getters to the general election regardless of party, which spreads support and keeps first-place probabilities closely contested. Recent candidate forums, speed-dating-style voter events in Anchorage, and early voting have highlighted name recognition and turnout efforts among key blocs without producing clear separation. Late shifts in ranked-choice preferences or turnout surprises among independents and crossover voters could still reorder the finish in the final days.

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska.

This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the most votes in the non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the Division of Elections.
Volume
$837
End Date
Aug 18, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 6:08 PM ET
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the most votes in the non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the Division of Elections.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Who will place first in the Alaska Governor primary?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 20 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Matt Claman" at 38%, followed by "Destry J. Payne Sr." at 38%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 38¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 38% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Who will place first in the Alaska Governor primary?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 14, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Who will place first in the Alaska Governor primary?," browse the 20 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Who will place first in the Alaska Governor primary?" is "Matt Claman" at 38%, meaning the market assigns a 38% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Destry J. Payne Sr." at 38%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Who will place first in the Alaska Governor primary?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.