Incumbent Nick Begich leads recent polling for Alaska’s August 18 nonpartisan top-four primary, with surveys from April and May showing him at 46-47% against Democrat Matt Schultz near 29% and independent Bill Hill at 11%, the remainder split among lesser-known entrants. The June 1 filing deadline closes candidate entry ahead of the contest that advances the top four vote-getters to the November general election under ranked-choice voting. Begich’s narrow 2024 victory has drawn national Democratic attention and challenger fundraising, while forecasters rate the seat Likely Republican. Fragmentation among opponents and turnout patterns in the open primary remain key variables for advancement.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoMatt Schultz
92%
Nick Begich III
91%
Bill Hill
89%
John Williams
69%
Gavin Solomon
39%
Matthew "Bronco" Williams
25%
$6,939 Vol.
Matt Schultz
92%
Nick Begich III
91%
Bill Hill
89%
John Williams
69%
Gavin Solomon
39%
Matthew "Bronco" Williams
25%
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for Alaska's At-Large congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.
Mercato aperto: May 27, 2026, 10:09 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for Alaska's At-Large congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Incumbent Nick Begich leads recent polling for Alaska’s August 18 nonpartisan top-four primary, with surveys from April and May showing him at 46-47% against Democrat Matt Schultz near 29% and independent Bill Hill at 11%, the remainder split among lesser-known entrants. The June 1 filing deadline closes candidate entry ahead of the contest that advances the top four vote-getters to the November general election under ranked-choice voting. Begich’s narrow 2024 victory has drawn national Democratic attention and challenger fundraising, while forecasters rate the seat Likely Republican. Fragmentation among opponents and turnout patterns in the open primary remain key variables for advancement.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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