Incumbent Democrat Mark Pocan holds a commanding position in Wisconsin’s 2nd congressional district for the 2026 general election, reflecting the seat’s consistent Democratic lean and his repeated strong performances, including a 70 percent victory in 2024. The district, anchored by Madison and surrounding areas, has favored Democratic candidates by wide margins in recent cycles, limiting Republican competitiveness even in a national midterm environment. With primaries scheduled for August and the general election on November 3, trader consensus assigns overwhelming probability to the Democratic outcome. Late developments such as an incumbent health issue, ethics controversy, or emergence of an unusually strong Republican challenger could still shift dynamics before November.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$89,627 Vol.
$89,627 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
97%
共和党
2%
$89,627 Vol.
$89,627 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$53,680 Vol.
97%
共和党
$35,947 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Mark Pocan holds a commanding position in Wisconsin’s 2nd congressional district for the 2026 general election, reflecting the seat’s consistent Democratic lean and his repeated strong performances, including a 70 percent victory in 2024. The district, anchored by Madison and surrounding areas, has favored Democratic candidates by wide margins in recent cycles, limiting Republican competitiveness even in a national midterm environment. With primaries scheduled for August and the general election on November 3, trader consensus assigns overwhelming probability to the Democratic outcome. Late developments such as an incumbent health issue, ethics controversy, or emergence of an unusually strong Republican challenger could still shift dynamics before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
音量
$89,627終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Mark Pocan holds a commanding position in Wisconsin’s 2nd congressional district for the 2026 general election, reflecting the seat’s consistent Democratic lean and his repeated strong performances, including a 70 percent victory in 2024. The district, anchored by Madison and surrounding areas, has favored Democratic candidates by wide margins in recent cycles, limiting Republican competitiveness even in a national midterm environment. With primaries scheduled for August and the general election on November 3, trader consensus assigns overwhelming probability to the Democratic outcome. Late developments such as an incumbent health issue, ethics controversy, or emergence of an unusually strong Republican challenger could still shift dynamics before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$89,627終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Mark Pocan holds a commanding position in Wisconsin’s 2nd congressional district for the 2026 general election, reflecting the seat’s consistent Democratic lean and his repeated strong performances, including a 70 percent victory in 2024. The district, anchored by Madison and surrounding areas, has favored Democratic candidates by wide margins in recent cycles, limiting Republican competitiveness even in a national midterm environment. With primaries scheduled for August and the general election on November 3, trader consensus assigns overwhelming probability to the Democratic outcome. Late developments such as an incumbent health issue, ethics controversy, or emergence of an unusually strong Republican challenger could still shift dynamics before November.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問