Wisconsin’s 2nd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+21 partisan voter index and the incumbent Democrat’s 70 percent margin in the prior cycle. Mark Pocan, the sitting representative since 2013, faces minimal opposition in the Democratic primary ahead of the August 2026 contest, while Republican primary candidates have yet to generate comparable fundraising or visibility. Nonpartisan rating services classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic, consistent with its concentration of voters in the Madison area. The market’s heavy weighting toward a Democratic outcome aligns with these structural factors, though shifts could still arise from an unexpected primary challenge, national political realignment before November 2026, or unforeseen developments affecting candidate viability.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$88,966 Vol.
$88,966 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
96%
共和党
5%
$88,966 Vol.
$88,966 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$53,340 Vol.
96%
共和党
$35,625 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wisconsin’s 2nd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+21 partisan voter index and the incumbent Democrat’s 70 percent margin in the prior cycle. Mark Pocan, the sitting representative since 2013, faces minimal opposition in the Democratic primary ahead of the August 2026 contest, while Republican primary candidates have yet to generate comparable fundraising or visibility. Nonpartisan rating services classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic, consistent with its concentration of voters in the Madison area. The market’s heavy weighting toward a Democratic outcome aligns with these structural factors, though shifts could still arise from an unexpected primary challenge, national political realignment before November 2026, or unforeseen developments affecting candidate viability.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
音量
$88,966終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wisconsin’s 2nd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+21 partisan voter index and the incumbent Democrat’s 70 percent margin in the prior cycle. Mark Pocan, the sitting representative since 2013, faces minimal opposition in the Democratic primary ahead of the August 2026 contest, while Republican primary candidates have yet to generate comparable fundraising or visibility. Nonpartisan rating services classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic, consistent with its concentration of voters in the Madison area. The market’s heavy weighting toward a Democratic outcome aligns with these structural factors, though shifts could still arise from an unexpected primary challenge, national political realignment before November 2026, or unforeseen developments affecting candidate viability.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$88,966終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Wisconsin’s 2nd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+21 partisan voter index and the incumbent Democrat’s 70 percent margin in the prior cycle. Mark Pocan, the sitting representative since 2013, faces minimal opposition in the Democratic primary ahead of the August 2026 contest, while Republican primary candidates have yet to generate comparable fundraising or visibility. Nonpartisan rating services classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic, consistent with its concentration of voters in the Madison area. The market’s heavy weighting toward a Democratic outcome aligns with these structural factors, though shifts could still arise from an unexpected primary challenge, national political realignment before November 2026, or unforeseen developments affecting candidate viability.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問