The 2026 Arizona gubernatorial contest for Maricopa County remains tightly balanced, with trader consensus reflecting the county's role as the state's largest and most diverse electorate in a battleground setting. Incumbent Democrat Katie Hobbs, who faced no primary opposition, and Republican nominee Andy Biggs, who secured his party's nod in the July 21 primary, both sit near even odds as the general election approaches on November 3. Key dynamics include Maricopa's mix of suburban Phoenix voters, strong turnout patterns in prior cycles, and policy contrasts on border security, taxes, and education that have kept the race competitive. Hobbs's selection of former Republican Mesa Mayor John Giles as running mate and Biggs's pairing with conservative Sine Kerr underscore efforts to broaden coalitions. Scheduled debates, fall polling shifts in the Phoenix metro area, and any late developments on economic conditions or voter mobilization could widen margins before election night.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Katie Hobbs (D)
43%
Andy Biggs (R)
28%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Katie Hobbs (D)
$0 Vol.
43%
Andy Biggs (R)
$0 Vol.
28%
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Maricopa County in the general election for Governor of Arizona, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Arizona, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Maricopa County.The 2026 Arizona gubernatorial contest for Maricopa County remains tightly balanced, with trader consensus reflecting the county's role as the state's largest and most diverse electorate in a battleground setting. Incumbent Democrat Katie Hobbs, who faced no primary opposition, and Republican nominee Andy Biggs, who secured his party's nod in the July 21 primary, both sit near even odds as the general election approaches on November 3. Key dynamics include Maricopa's mix of suburban Phoenix voters, strong turnout patterns in prior cycles, and policy contrasts on border security, taxes, and education that have kept the race competitive. Hobbs's selection of former Republican Mesa Mayor John Giles as running mate and Biggs's pairing with conservative Sine Kerr underscore efforts to broaden coalitions. Scheduled debates, fall polling shifts in the Phoenix metro area, and any late developments on economic conditions or voter mobilization could widen margins before election night.
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Maricopa County in the general election for Governor of Arizona, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Arizona, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Maricopa County.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Arizona, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Maricopa County.
Market Opened: Sep 1, 2026, 1:44 PM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 1:44 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Maricopa County in the general election for Governor of Arizona, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Arizona, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Maricopa County.The 2026 Arizona gubernatorial contest for Maricopa County remains tightly balanced, with trader consensus reflecting the county's role as the state's largest and most diverse electorate in a battleground setting. Incumbent Democrat Katie Hobbs, who faced no primary opposition, and Republican nominee Andy Biggs, who secured his party's nod in the July 21 primary, both sit near even odds as the general election approaches on November 3. Key dynamics include Maricopa's mix of suburban Phoenix voters, strong turnout patterns in prior cycles, and policy contrasts on border security, taxes, and education that have kept the race competitive. Hobbs's selection of former Republican Mesa Mayor John Giles as running mate and Biggs's pairing with conservative Sine Kerr underscore efforts to broaden coalitions. Scheduled debates, fall polling shifts in the Phoenix metro area, and any late developments on economic conditions or voter mobilization could widen margins before election night.
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Maricopa County in the general election for Governor of Arizona, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Arizona, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Maricopa County.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Arizona, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Maricopa County.
Volume
$0End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 1:44 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 Arizona gubernatorial contest for Maricopa County remains tightly balanced, with trader consensus reflecting the county's role as the state's largest and most diverse electorate in a battleground setting. Incumbent Democrat Katie Hobbs, who faced no primary opposition, and Republican nominee Andy Biggs, who secured his party's nod in the July 21 primary, both sit near even odds as the general election approaches on November 3. Key dynamics include Maricopa's mix of suburban Phoenix voters, strong turnout patterns in prior cycles, and policy contrasts on border security, taxes, and education that have kept the race competitive. Hobbs's selection of former Republican Mesa Mayor John Giles as running mate and Biggs's pairing with conservative Sine Kerr underscore efforts to broaden coalitions. Scheduled debates, fall polling shifts in the Phoenix metro area, and any late developments on economic conditions or voter mobilization could widen margins before election night.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions