Incumbent Democratic Governor Katie Hobbs holds a clear edge in early general election polling against leading Republican primary contenders, including Andy Biggs, who leads the July 21 primary field by wide margins in recent surveys. Hobbs benefits from her narrow 2022 victory and established statewide profile, while Arizona’s competitive political environment—marked by a Republican presidential win in 2024—has not yet translated into strong head-to-head advantages for GOP candidates like Biggs or David Schweikert. Trader consensus reflects these dynamics, with the Democratic outcome priced highest due to Hobbs’s consistent polling leads and the approaching primary timeline that will finalize the Republican nominee.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Arizona Governor Election Winner
Arizona Governor Election Winner
$45,067 交易量
$45,067 交易量
2026-11-03
Democrat
78%
Republican
21%
$45,067 交易量
$45,067 交易量
2026-11-03
Democrat
$24,374 交易量
78%
Republican
$20,693 交易量
21%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor Katie Hobbs holds a clear edge in early general election polling against leading Republican primary contenders, including Andy Biggs, who leads the July 21 primary field by wide margins in recent surveys. Hobbs benefits from her narrow 2022 victory and established statewide profile, while Arizona’s competitive political environment—marked by a Republican presidential win in 2024—has not yet translated into strong head-to-head advantages for GOP candidates like Biggs or David Schweikert. Trader consensus reflects these dynamics, with the Democratic outcome priced highest due to Hobbs’s consistent polling leads and the approaching primary timeline that will finalize the Republican nominee.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
交易量
$45,067结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor Katie Hobbs holds a clear edge in early general election polling against leading Republican primary contenders, including Andy Biggs, who leads the July 21 primary field by wide margins in recent surveys. Hobbs benefits from her narrow 2022 victory and established statewide profile, while Arizona’s competitive political environment—marked by a Republican presidential win in 2024—has not yet translated into strong head-to-head advantages for GOP candidates like Biggs or David Schweikert. Trader consensus reflects these dynamics, with the Democratic outcome priced highest due to Hobbs’s consistent polling leads and the approaching primary timeline that will finalize the Republican nominee.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$45,067结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Governor Katie Hobbs holds a clear edge in early general election polling against leading Republican primary contenders, including Andy Biggs, who leads the July 21 primary field by wide margins in recent surveys. Hobbs benefits from her narrow 2022 victory and established statewide profile, while Arizona’s competitive political environment—marked by a Republican presidential win in 2024—has not yet translated into strong head-to-head advantages for GOP candidates like Biggs or David Schweikert. Trader consensus reflects these dynamics, with the Democratic outcome priced highest due to Hobbs’s consistent polling leads and the approaching primary timeline that will finalize the Republican nominee.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题