Zamfara State's 2027 gubernatorial contest remains closely balanced among leading contenders because the incumbent Dauda Lawal benefits from name recognition and recent moves to consolidate party structures, while opposition figures like Mahadi Aliyu Gusau of the ADC and others draw support from regional networks and dissatisfaction over persistent security challenges. Recent developments include Lawal retaining his deputy as running mate, Gusau securing the ADC ticket, and multiple APC aspirants emerging amid reports of defections and internal party maneuvering. These factors sustain trader consensus near even odds, with separation likely to hinge on primary outcomes, coalition-building across senatorial zones, and any shifts in voter priorities ahead of the February polling date.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedDauda Lawal 44%
Mahadi Aliyu Gusau 28%
Hamza Musa Mai Bulawus 28%
Ahmed Yahuza 24%
NEW
NEW
Feb 6, 2027
Dauda Lawal
44%
Mahadi Aliyu Gusau
28%
Hamza Musa Mai Bulawus
28%
Ahmed Yahuza
24%
Dauda Lawal 44%
Mahadi Aliyu Gusau 28%
Hamza Musa Mai Bulawus 28%
Ahmed Yahuza 24%
NEW
NEW
Feb 6, 2027
Dauda Lawal
$0 Vol.
44%
Mahadi Aliyu Gusau
$0 Vol.
28%
Hamza Musa Mai Bulawus
$0 Vol.
28%
Ahmed Yahuza
$0 Vol.
24%
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Zamfara State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Zamfara State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.Zamfara State's 2027 gubernatorial contest remains closely balanced among leading contenders because the incumbent Dauda Lawal benefits from name recognition and recent moves to consolidate party structures, while opposition figures like Mahadi Aliyu Gusau of the ADC and others draw support from regional networks and dissatisfaction over persistent security challenges. Recent developments include Lawal retaining his deputy as running mate, Gusau securing the ADC ticket, and multiple APC aspirants emerging amid reports of defections and internal party maneuvering. These factors sustain trader consensus near even odds, with separation likely to hinge on primary outcomes, coalition-building across senatorial zones, and any shifts in voter priorities ahead of the February polling date.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Zamfara State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Zamfara State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Zamfara State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 5:06 PM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Feb 6, 2027Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 5:06 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Zamfara State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Zamfara State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.Zamfara State's 2027 gubernatorial contest remains closely balanced among leading contenders because the incumbent Dauda Lawal benefits from name recognition and recent moves to consolidate party structures, while opposition figures like Mahadi Aliyu Gusau of the ADC and others draw support from regional networks and dissatisfaction over persistent security challenges. Recent developments include Lawal retaining his deputy as running mate, Gusau securing the ADC ticket, and multiple APC aspirants emerging amid reports of defections and internal party maneuvering. These factors sustain trader consensus near even odds, with separation likely to hinge on primary outcomes, coalition-building across senatorial zones, and any shifts in voter priorities ahead of the February polling date.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Zamfara State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Zamfara State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Zamfara State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Volume
$0End Date
Feb 6, 2027Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 5:06 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Zamfara State's 2027 gubernatorial contest remains closely balanced among leading contenders because the incumbent Dauda Lawal benefits from name recognition and recent moves to consolidate party structures, while opposition figures like Mahadi Aliyu Gusau of the ADC and others draw support from regional networks and dissatisfaction over persistent security challenges. Recent developments include Lawal retaining his deputy as running mate, Gusau securing the ADC ticket, and multiple APC aspirants emerging amid reports of defections and internal party maneuvering. These factors sustain trader consensus near even odds, with separation likely to hinge on primary outcomes, coalition-building across senatorial zones, and any shifts in voter priorities ahead of the February polling date.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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