Recent polling shows Abdul El-Sayed and Mike Rogers locked in a narrow statewide contest for Michigan’s open U.S. Senate seat, with El-Sayed holding small leads in most August surveys of likely voters. Kent County’s suburban and independent voters have produced mixed results in recent cycles, and the absence of county-specific general-election data leaves room for either candidate to prevail on November 3. El-Sayed’s primary performance in the county and Rogers’ emphasis on economic and security issues keep the outcome closely contested among traders. Turnout patterns among independents and shifts in West Michigan support could widen margins before Election Day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Mike Rogers (R)
45%

Abdul El-Sayed (D)
50%

Mike Rogers (R)
45%

Abdul El-Sayed (D)
50%
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Kent County.
Market Opened: Sep 1, 2026, 1:28 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Kent County.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling shows Abdul El-Sayed and Mike Rogers locked in a narrow statewide contest for Michigan’s open U.S. Senate seat, with El-Sayed holding small leads in most August surveys of likely voters. Kent County’s suburban and independent voters have produced mixed results in recent cycles, and the absence of county-specific general-election data leaves room for either candidate to prevail on November 3. El-Sayed’s primary performance in the county and Rogers’ emphasis on economic and security issues keep the outcome closely contested among traders. Turnout patterns among independents and shifts in West Michigan support could widen margins before Election Day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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