Incumbent Republican Phil Scott's strong popularity and decision to seek a sixth term anchor trader consensus in the Vermont gubernatorial race. Scott secured reelection in 2024 with 73% of the vote and consistently ranks among the nation's most popular governors, drawing support across party lines in a state that leans heavily Democratic in presidential contests. Nonpartisan ratings classify the contest as Solid Republican. Democratic primary contenders Amanda Janoo and Aly Richards entered the race in spring 2026, yet neither has shifted polling or fundraising momentum ahead of the August 11 primary. The November 3 general election timeline and Scott's incumbency advantage continue to shape the current implied probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$25,880 交易量
$25,880 交易量

共和黨
82%

民主黨
17%
$25,880 交易量
$25,880 交易量

共和黨
82%

民主黨
17%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市場開放時間: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Phil Scott's strong popularity and decision to seek a sixth term anchor trader consensus in the Vermont gubernatorial race. Scott secured reelection in 2024 with 73% of the vote and consistently ranks among the nation's most popular governors, drawing support across party lines in a state that leans heavily Democratic in presidential contests. Nonpartisan ratings classify the contest as Solid Republican. Democratic primary contenders Amanda Janoo and Aly Richards entered the race in spring 2026, yet neither has shifted polling or fundraising momentum ahead of the August 11 primary. The November 3 general election timeline and Scott's incumbency advantage continue to shape the current implied probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions