**Mid-decade congressional redistricting has accelerated ahead of the 2026 midterms following President Trump’s 2025 push for Republican-led states to redraw lines and a landmark April 2026 Supreme Court ruling in Louisiana v. Callais that altered Voting Rights Act standards for race-based districts.** This prompted new maps in states including Texas, Florida, North Carolina, Ohio, Tennessee, Louisiana, Alabama, and Utah, with California adopting changes via a 2025 ballot measure. Net shifts favor Republicans in roughly a dozen seats across these states, though outcomes remain subject to ongoing litigation. Missouri’s new map faces repeated court blocks, with the U.S. Supreme Court’s September 2026 order likely restoring the 2022 lines for November. Traders monitor remaining state court deadlines, referendum results, and any late ballot-printing disputes that could alter which maps reach voters.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWhich states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?
Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?
$409,961 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
California
96%
Texas
98%
North Carolina
96%
Ohio
94%
Utah
91%
Florida
99%
Louisiana
92%
Missouri
<1%
Virginia
4%
Alabama
87%
South Carolina
<1%
Georgia
4%
Kansas
3%
New Jersey
3%
Indiana
5%
Washington
3%
Nebraska
5%
Illinois
2%
Minnesota
4%
New York
3%
Maryland
4%
Wisconsin
3%
$409,961 Vol.
California
$17,232 Vol.
96%
Texas
$19,857 Vol.
98%
North Carolina
$11,939 Vol.
96%
Ohio
$7,407 Vol.
94%
Utah
$95,360 Vol.
91%
Florida
$7,335 Vol.
99%
Louisiana
$16,778 Vol.
92%
Missouri
$13,789 Vol.
<1%
Virginia
$10,332 Vol.
4%
Alabama
$18,541 Vol.
87%
South Carolina
$28,897 Vol.
<1%
Georgia
$8,962 Vol.
4%
Kansas
$8,068 Vol.
3%
New Jersey
$6,154 Vol.
3%
Indiana
$34,497 Vol.
5%
Washington
$10,149 Vol.
3%
Nebraska
$7,515 Vol.
5%
Illinois
$11,855 Vol.
2%
Minnesota
$16,084 Vol.
4%
New York
$19,923 Vol.
3%
Maryland
$16,339 Vol.
4%
Wisconsin
$22,948 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.**Mid-decade congressional redistricting has accelerated ahead of the 2026 midterms following President Trump’s 2025 push for Republican-led states to redraw lines and a landmark April 2026 Supreme Court ruling in Louisiana v. Callais that altered Voting Rights Act standards for race-based districts.**
This prompted new maps in states including Texas, Florida, North Carolina, Ohio, Tennessee, Louisiana, Alabama, and Utah, with California adopting changes via a 2025 ballot measure. Net shifts favor Republicans in roughly a dozen seats across these states, though outcomes remain subject to ongoing litigation. Missouri’s new map faces repeated court blocks, with the U.S. Supreme Court’s September 2026 order likely restoring the 2022 lines for November. Traders monitor remaining state court deadlines, referendum results, and any late ballot-printing disputes that could alter which maps reach voters.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Apr 30, 2026, 2:25 PM ET
Volume
$409,961End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Apr 30, 2026, 2:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.**Mid-decade congressional redistricting has accelerated ahead of the 2026 midterms following President Trump’s 2025 push for Republican-led states to redraw lines and a landmark April 2026 Supreme Court ruling in Louisiana v. Callais that altered Voting Rights Act standards for race-based districts.**
This prompted new maps in states including Texas, Florida, North Carolina, Ohio, Tennessee, Louisiana, Alabama, and Utah, with California adopting changes via a 2025 ballot measure. Net shifts favor Republicans in roughly a dozen seats across these states, though outcomes remain subject to ongoing litigation. Missouri’s new map faces repeated court blocks, with the U.S. Supreme Court’s September 2026 order likely restoring the 2022 lines for November. Traders monitor remaining state court deadlines, referendum results, and any late ballot-printing disputes that could alter which maps reach voters.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$409,961End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Apr 30, 2026, 2:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Mid-decade congressional redistricting has accelerated ahead of the 2026 midterms following President Trump’s 2025 push for Republican-led states to redraw lines and a landmark April 2026 Supreme Court ruling in Louisiana v. Callais that altered Voting Rights Act standards for race-based districts.** This prompted new maps in states including Texas, Florida, North Carolina, Ohio, Tennessee, Louisiana, Alabama, and Utah, with California adopting changes via a 2025 ballot measure. Net shifts favor Republicans in roughly a dozen seats across these states, though outcomes remain subject to ongoing litigation. Missouri’s new map faces repeated court blocks, with the U.S. Supreme Court’s September 2026 order likely restoring the 2022 lines for November. Traders monitor remaining state court deadlines, referendum results, and any late ballot-printing disputes that could alter which maps reach voters.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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