**Mojtaba Khamenei, who succeeded his father as Iran's Supreme Leader following Ali Khamenei's death earlier in 2026, maintains a relatively low-frequency posting pattern on his official X account (@MKhamenei_ir).** Recent activity includes a cluster of statements in late July 2026 addressing resistance themes and regional issues, followed by limited output in early August. The @khamenei_ir account has primarily recirculated older quotes tied to Arbaeen observances. Ongoing internal dynamics, including reported interactions with President Pezeshkian over U.S. policy approaches and Supreme National Security Council matters as of early August, have not triggered sustained daily commentary from the leader. Historical precedent for the new supreme leader shows sporadic rather than intensive posting even during periods of regional tension, supporting trader consensus around fewer than five posts in the August 7–14 window. No major scheduled diplomatic, religious, or conflict-related events are positioned to materially increase output volume during this specific period.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedKhamenei # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026?
Khamenei # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026?
<5 52%
5-9 28%
10-14 12%
15-19 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 14, 2026
<5
52%
5-9
28%
10-14
12%
15-19
6%
20-24
2%
25-29
2%
30-34
1%
35-39
1%
40-44
1%
45-49
1%
50-54
1%
55-59
1%
60+
1%
<5 52%
5-9 28%
10-14 12%
15-19 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 14, 2026
<5
$1,366 Vol.
52%
5-9
$176 Vol.
28%
10-14
$98 Vol.
12%
15-19
$10 Vol.
6%
20-24
$10 Vol.
2%
25-29
$20 Vol.
2%
30-34
$10 Vol.
1%
35-39
$10 Vol.
1%
40-44
$10 Vol.
1%
45-49
$10 Vol.
1%
50-54
$10 Vol.
1%
55-59
$10 Vol.
1%
60+
$10 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 7, 12:00 PM ET and August 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Mojtaba Khamenei, who succeeded his father as Iran's Supreme Leader following Ali Khamenei's death earlier in 2026, maintains a relatively low-frequency posting pattern on his official X account (@MKhamenei_ir).** Recent activity includes a cluster of statements in late July 2026 addressing resistance themes and regional issues, followed by limited output in early August. The @khamenei_ir account has primarily recirculated older quotes tied to Arbaeen observances.
Ongoing internal dynamics, including reported interactions with President Pezeshkian over U.S. policy approaches and Supreme National Security Council matters as of early August, have not triggered sustained daily commentary from the leader. Historical precedent for the new supreme leader shows sporadic rather than intensive posting even during periods of regional tension, supporting trader consensus around fewer than five posts in the August 7–14 window. No major scheduled diplomatic, religious, or conflict-related events are positioned to materially increase output volume during this specific period.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 7, 12:00 PM ET and August 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Aug 4, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Volume
$1,750End Date
Aug 14, 2026Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 7, 12:00 PM ET and August 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Mojtaba Khamenei, who succeeded his father as Iran's Supreme Leader following Ali Khamenei's death earlier in 2026, maintains a relatively low-frequency posting pattern on his official X account (@MKhamenei_ir).** Recent activity includes a cluster of statements in late July 2026 addressing resistance themes and regional issues, followed by limited output in early August. The @khamenei_ir account has primarily recirculated older quotes tied to Arbaeen observances.
Ongoing internal dynamics, including reported interactions with President Pezeshkian over U.S. policy approaches and Supreme National Security Council matters as of early August, have not triggered sustained daily commentary from the leader. Historical precedent for the new supreme leader shows sporadic rather than intensive posting even during periods of regional tension, supporting trader consensus around fewer than five posts in the August 7–14 window. No major scheduled diplomatic, religious, or conflict-related events are positioned to materially increase output volume during this specific period.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 7, 12:00 PM ET and August 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$1,750End Date
Aug 14, 2026Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Mojtaba Khamenei, who succeeded his father as Iran's Supreme Leader following Ali Khamenei's death earlier in 2026, maintains a relatively low-frequency posting pattern on his official X account (@MKhamenei_ir).** Recent activity includes a cluster of statements in late July 2026 addressing resistance themes and regional issues, followed by limited output in early August. The @khamenei_ir account has primarily recirculated older quotes tied to Arbaeen observances. Ongoing internal dynamics, including reported interactions with President Pezeshkian over U.S. policy approaches and Supreme National Security Council matters as of early August, have not triggered sustained daily commentary from the leader. Historical precedent for the new supreme leader shows sporadic rather than intensive posting even during periods of regional tension, supporting trader consensus around fewer than five posts in the August 7–14 window. No major scheduled diplomatic, religious, or conflict-related events are positioned to materially increase output volume during this specific period.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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