Iran’s most recent presidential election occurred in 2024 following the death of President Ebrahim Raisi, installing Masoud Pezeshkian for a term that runs through 2028 under the standard four-year cycle. The February 2026 assassination of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and subsequent selection of Mojtaba Khamenei by the Assembly of Experts shifted focus to leadership succession at the highest level without triggering constitutional requirements for an early presidential vote. Iranian law mandates snap elections only within 50 days of a presidential vacancy, and no such vacancy or other catalyst such as widespread unrest or institutional dissolution has emerged in the past 30 days. Trader consensus therefore assigns low implied probability to an election before early 2027, reflecting the absence of procedural or political drivers that would accelerate the timetable.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWill Iran hold a presidential election by...?
Will Iran hold a presidential election by...?
$767,419 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
December 31
9%
$767,419 Vol.
December 31
$205 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Iran’s most recent presidential election occurred in 2024 following the death of President Ebrahim Raisi, installing Masoud Pezeshkian for a term that runs through 2028 under the standard four-year cycle. The February 2026 assassination of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and subsequent selection of Mojtaba Khamenei by the Assembly of Experts shifted focus to leadership succession at the highest level without triggering constitutional requirements for an early presidential vote. Iranian law mandates snap elections only within 50 days of a presidential vacancy, and no such vacancy or other catalyst such as widespread unrest or institutional dissolution has emerged in the past 30 days. Trader consensus therefore assigns low implied probability to an election before early 2027, reflecting the absence of procedural or political drivers that would accelerate the timetable.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jun 30, 2026, 7:27 PM ET
Volume
$767,419End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Jun 30, 2026, 7:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Iran’s most recent presidential election occurred in 2024 following the death of President Ebrahim Raisi, installing Masoud Pezeshkian for a term that runs through 2028 under the standard four-year cycle. The February 2026 assassination of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and subsequent selection of Mojtaba Khamenei by the Assembly of Experts shifted focus to leadership succession at the highest level without triggering constitutional requirements for an early presidential vote. Iranian law mandates snap elections only within 50 days of a presidential vacancy, and no such vacancy or other catalyst such as widespread unrest or institutional dissolution has emerged in the past 30 days. Trader consensus therefore assigns low implied probability to an election before early 2027, reflecting the absence of procedural or political drivers that would accelerate the timetable.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$767,419End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Jun 30, 2026, 7:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Iran’s most recent presidential election occurred in 2024 following the death of President Ebrahim Raisi, installing Masoud Pezeshkian for a term that runs through 2028 under the standard four-year cycle. The February 2026 assassination of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and subsequent selection of Mojtaba Khamenei by the Assembly of Experts shifted focus to leadership succession at the highest level without triggering constitutional requirements for an early presidential vote. Iranian law mandates snap elections only within 50 days of a presidential vacancy, and no such vacancy or other catalyst such as widespread unrest or institutional dissolution has emerged in the past 30 days. Trader consensus therefore assigns low implied probability to an election before early 2027, reflecting the absence of procedural or political drivers that would accelerate the timetable.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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