US sanctions intensification and the ongoing conflict have driven the Iranian rial to record lows near 2.0–2.07 million per USD on the free market as of late August 2026. New measures announced by Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, including secondary sanctions targeting oil buyers, shipping, and financial networks, combined with a naval blockade and reduced exports through the Strait of Hormuz, have sharply curtailed Tehran’s foreign exchange inflows. Traders price in continued depreciation through September given persistent inflation pressures, limited diplomatic breakthroughs, and enforcement actions against remaining trade channels. This positions the 2.2M+ outcome as the consensus leader while leaving room for modest stabilization only if oil flows or negotiations improve markedly before month-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedUSD x Iranian rials End of September?
2.2M+ 62%
2.0-2.1M 16%
2.1-2.2M 11.3%
1.9-2.0M 6%
<1.7M
1%
1.7-1.8M
<1%
1.8-1.9M
3%
1.9-2.0M
6%
2.0-2.1M
16%
2.1-2.2M
11%
2.2M+
62%
2.2M+ 62%
2.0-2.1M 16%
2.1-2.2M 11.3%
1.9-2.0M 6%
<1.7M
1%
1.7-1.8M
<1%
1.8-1.9M
3%
1.9-2.0M
6%
2.0-2.1M
16%
2.1-2.2M
11%
2.2M+
62%
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 6:16 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...US sanctions intensification and the ongoing conflict have driven the Iranian rial to record lows near 2.0–2.07 million per USD on the free market as of late August 2026. New measures announced by Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, including secondary sanctions targeting oil buyers, shipping, and financial networks, combined with a naval blockade and reduced exports through the Strait of Hormuz, have sharply curtailed Tehran’s foreign exchange inflows. Traders price in continued depreciation through September given persistent inflation pressures, limited diplomatic breakthroughs, and enforcement actions against remaining trade channels. This positions the 2.2M+ outcome as the consensus leader while leaving room for modest stabilization only if oil flows or negotiations improve markedly before month-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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