Skip to main content
icon for Will USD/CAD hit __ in 2026?
Finance·Foreign Exchange

Will USD/CAD hit __ in 2026?

icon for Will USD/CAD hit __ in 2026?
Finance·Foreign Exchange

Will USD/CAD hit __ in 2026?

$11,616 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$11,616 Vol.

Polymarket

↑1.70

$815 Vol.

7%

↑1.60

$191 Vol.

10%

↑1.55

$198 Vol.

12%

↑1.50

$10 Vol.

44%

↑1.45

$6,065 Vol.

50%

↑1.42

$31 Vol.

59%

↓1.33

$44 Vol.

53%

↓1.30

$0 Vol.

44%

↓1.25

$86 Vol.

42%

↓1.20

$0 Vol.

38%

↓1.10

$0 Vol.

28%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com high price (“H”) for any USD/CAD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday. This market will resolve as soon as any finalized USD/CAD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date. This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the USD/CAD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-cad-chart).This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com low price (“L”) for any USD/CAD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday. This market will resolve as soon as any finalized USD/CAD hourly candle low price is equal to or below the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date. This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “L” figure located at the top of the USD/CAD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-cad-chart).USD/CAD hovers around 1.367, reflecting trader caution ahead of pivotal Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) and Bank of Canada (BoC) meetings on April 28-29, which could redefine the policy divergence driving the pair—Fed funds target at 3.50%-3.75% versus BoC overnight rate at 2.25%. Recent USD pullback despite oil's 12% plunge to $82 per barrel has capped CAD downside, while Canada's budget deficit widened to C$25.55 billion over the first 11 months of fiscal 2025/26. Consensus 2026 forecasts eye 1.35-1.39 by year-end on expected Fed rate cuts narrowing the differential, with Q1 GDP (April 30) and upcoming CPI/PCE data as key catalysts for volatility.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com high price (“H”) for any USD/CAD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.

This market will resolve as soon as any finalized USD/CAD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.

This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the USD/CAD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-cad-chart).
Volume
$11,616
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 6, 2026, 4:40 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com high price (“H”) for any USD/CAD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday. This market will resolve as soon as any finalized USD/CAD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date. This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the USD/CAD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-cad-chart).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com high price (“H”) for any USD/CAD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday. This market will resolve as soon as any finalized USD/CAD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date. This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the USD/CAD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-cad-chart).This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com low price (“L”) for any USD/CAD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday. This market will resolve as soon as any finalized USD/CAD hourly candle low price is equal to or below the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date. This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “L” figure located at the top of the USD/CAD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-cad-chart).USD/CAD hovers around 1.367, reflecting trader caution ahead of pivotal Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) and Bank of Canada (BoC) meetings on April 28-29, which could redefine the policy divergence driving the pair—Fed funds target at 3.50%-3.75% versus BoC overnight rate at 2.25%. Recent USD pullback despite oil's 12% plunge to $82 per barrel has capped CAD downside, while Canada's budget deficit widened to C$25.55 billion over the first 11 months of fiscal 2025/26. Consensus 2026 forecasts eye 1.35-1.39 by year-end on expected Fed rate cuts narrowing the differential, with Q1 GDP (April 30) and upcoming CPI/PCE data as key catalysts for volatility.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com high price (“H”) for any USD/CAD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.

This market will resolve as soon as any finalized USD/CAD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.

This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the USD/CAD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-cad-chart).
Volume
$11,616
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 6, 2026, 4:40 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com high price (“H”) for any USD/CAD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday. This market will resolve as soon as any finalized USD/CAD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date. This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the USD/CAD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-cad-chart).

Related

icon for Will USD/JPY hit 150 (Low) in 2026?

Will USD/JPY hit 150 (Low) in 2026?

46%
icon for Will GBP/USD hit 1.30 (Low) in 2026?

Will GBP/USD hit 1.30 (Low) in 2026?

63%
icon for Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?

Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?

33%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Will USD/CAD hit __ in 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 12 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "↑1.39" at 100%, followed by "↑1.42" at 59%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will USD/CAD hit __ in 2026?" has generated $11.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 6, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will USD/CAD hit __ in 2026?," browse the 12 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Will USD/CAD hit __ in 2026?" is "↑1.39" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "↑1.42" at 59%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Will USD/CAD hit __ in 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.