The interest rate differential between the Federal Reserve and European Central Bank remains the dominant driver of EUR/USD sentiment, with the Fed’s target range at 3.50–3.75% versus the ECB deposit rate at 2.00% as of mid-May 2026. This 1.625 percentage point gap, sustained by expectations of gradual Fed easing amid softer U.S. growth and persistent euro-area inflation pressures from Middle East energy shocks, continues to underpin dollar strength. Eurozone headline inflation is projected at 2.6% for 2026 while growth forecasts sit at just 0.9%, limiting ECB scope for cuts and keeping the policy divergence wide. Traders are focused on June FOMC and ECB meetings for any signals that could narrow the spread, alongside incoming PMI data and energy price developments that could shift relative rate paths and currency flows.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$75,190 Объем
↑ 1,40
7%
↑ 1,35
9%
↑ 1,30
22%
↑ 1,26
23%
↑ 1,24
50%
↑ 1,22
50%
↑ 1,20
71%
↓ 1,14
68%
↓ 1,12
42%
↓ 1,10
24%
↓ 1,05
9%
↓ 1,00
8%
$75,190 Объем
↑ 1,40
7%
↑ 1,35
9%
↑ 1,30
22%
↑ 1,26
23%
↑ 1,24
50%
↑ 1,22
50%
↑ 1,20
71%
↓ 1,14
68%
↓ 1,12
42%
↓ 1,10
24%
↓ 1,05
9%
↓ 1,00
8%
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).
Открытие рынка: Feb 4, 2026, 5:34 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The interest rate differential between the Federal Reserve and European Central Bank remains the dominant driver of EUR/USD sentiment, with the Fed’s target range at 3.50–3.75% versus the ECB deposit rate at 2.00% as of mid-May 2026. This 1.625 percentage point gap, sustained by expectations of gradual Fed easing amid softer U.S. growth and persistent euro-area inflation pressures from Middle East energy shocks, continues to underpin dollar strength. Eurozone headline inflation is projected at 2.6% for 2026 while growth forecasts sit at just 0.9%, limiting ECB scope for cuts and keeping the policy divergence wide. Traders are focused on June FOMC and ECB meetings for any signals that could narrow the spread, alongside incoming PMI data and energy price developments that could shift relative rate paths and currency flows.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы