Will Microsoft (MSFT) Q4 total capital expenditures be above __?

Jul 29

NEW

Jul 29, 2026

$38B

$4,369 Vol.

92%

$44B

$1,134 Vol.

62%

$50B

$773 Vol.

56%

$56B

$412 Vol.

49%

$62B

$221 Vol.

$6,909 Vol.

$38B

$4,369 Vol.

92%

$44B

$1,134 Vol.

62%

$50B

$773 Vol.

56%

$56B

$412 Vol.

49%

$62B

$221 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Microsoft's total capital expenditures for the upcoming fourth fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials, are above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to "No". If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.

Will Microsoft (MSFT) Q4 Cloud revenue be above $58B?

93%

Will Meta (META) Q2 capital expenditures (including principal payments on finance leases) be above $30B?

57%

Microsoft (MSFT) Q4 Azure revenue growth (constant currency) 44%+%?

34%

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Microsoft (MSFT) Q4 total capital expenditures be above __?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "$38B" at 92%, followed by "$44B" at 62%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 92¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 92% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Will Microsoft (MSFT) Q4 total capital expenditures be above __?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jul 17, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Will Microsoft (MSFT) Q4 total capital expenditures be above __?," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Will Microsoft (MSFT) Q4 total capital expenditures be above __?" is "$38B" at 92%, meaning the market assigns a 92% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "$44B" at 62%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Will Microsoft (MSFT) Q4 total capital expenditures be above __?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "Will Microsoft (MSFT) Q4 total capital expenditures be above __?." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. “Will Microsoft (MSFT) Q4 total capital expenditures be above __?” is still building its trading base, so the odds will become increasingly reliable as more participants enter the market. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "Will Microsoft (MSFT) Q4 total capital expenditures be above __?," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 92¢ for "$38B" in the "Will Microsoft (MSFT) Q4 total capital expenditures be above __?" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 92% chance that "$38B" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 92¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 8¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "Will Microsoft (MSFT) Q4 total capital expenditures be above __?" market is scheduled to resolve on or around Jul 29, 2026. This means trading will remain open and the odds will continue to shift as new information emerges until that date. The exact resolution timing depends on when the official result becomes available, as outlined in the "Rules" section on this page.

The "Will Microsoft (MSFT) Q4 total capital expenditures be above __?" market was recently created. Be one of the first to share your analysis by posting a comment below, or check back as the market grows to read what other traders think. You can also view the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of recent trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "Will Microsoft (MSFT) Q4 total capital expenditures be above __?." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

Will Microsoft (MSFT) Q4 total capital expenditures be above __?

Will Microsoft (MSFT) Q4 total capital expenditures be above __?

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