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Erdogan predictions & odds

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Turkish Constitutional Referendum announced in 2026?

Turkish Constitutional Referendum announced in 2026?

5%

$400 Vol.

$212 Liq.

1

Ends in 8 months

Will Turkey Move on a New Constitution in 2026?

Will Turkey Move on a New Constitution in 2026?

28%

$760 Vol.

$3.7K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?

Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?

11%

$349K Vol.

$47.2K Liq.

5

Ends in 8 months

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

8%

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

$15M Vol.

$403K today

$1M Liq.

162

Ends in 5 months

Next leader out of power before 2027?

Next leader out of power before 2027?

96%

Orbán - Hungary PM

$6M Vol.

$214K today

$547K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

21%

Díaz-Canel - Cuba President

$3.8K Vol.

$38.7K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Nechirvan Barzani out as Kurdistan Regional Government President?

Nechirvan Barzani out as Kurdistan Regional Government President?

8%

$15.9K Vol.

$16.8K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Zelenskyy # posts April 28 - May 5, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts April 28 - May 5, 2026?

42%

20-39

$5.1K Vol.

$1.7K Liq.

Ends in 6 days

Zelenskyy # posts May 1 - May 8, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts May 1 - May 8, 2026?

62%

<20

$222 Vol.

$1.1K Liq.

Ends in 9 days

Khamenei # posts April 28 - May 5, 2026?

Khamenei # posts April 28 - May 5, 2026?

45%

<5

$1.5K Vol.

$3.0K Liq.

Ends in 6 days

Khamenei # posts May 1 - May 8, 2026?

Khamenei # posts May 1 - May 8, 2026?

48%

45-49

$10 Vol.

$939 Liq.

Ends in 9 days

Zelenskyy # posts April 24 - May 1, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts April 24 - May 1, 2026?

52%

60-79

$3.2K Vol.

$6.5K Liq.

Ends in 2 days

Will Trump praise Allah again by April 30?

Will Trump praise Allah again by April 30?

7%

$39.0K Vol.

$15.2K Liq.

Ends in about 15 hours

Khamenei # posts April 24 - May 1, 2026?

Khamenei # posts April 24 - May 1, 2026?

78%

<5

$3.0K Vol.

$4.2K Liq.

Ends in 2 days

Will Trump attend NATO Summit?

Will Trump attend NATO Summit?

49%

$3.2K Vol.

$1.2K Liq.

3

Ends in 2 months

Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026?

Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026?

40%

$8.9K Vol.

$395 Liq.

6

Ends in 8 months

Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?

Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?

15%

$8.5K Vol.

$11.6K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

What will Trump post this week? (April 27 - May 3)

What will Trump post this week? (April 27 - May 3)

76%

Blockade

$1.5K Vol.

$1.2K Liq.

Ends in 4 days

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

52%

May 31

$9M Vol.

$1M today

$368K Liq.

253

Ends in about 15 hours

Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?

Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?

100%

$194K Vol.

$31.3K Liq.

38

Ends in 8 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Erdogan.

Polymarket currently hosts 106 active markets for Erdogan that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Turkish Constitutional Referendum announced in 2026?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $30.7M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 8% chance to Volodymyr Zelenskyy. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Erdogan predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.