The second Trump administration’s Department of Justice has advanced federal investigations and indictments targeting former officials from prior administrations and prominent Democratic figures, including actions against ex-FBI Director James Comey, New York Attorney General Letitia James, and former National Security Advisor John Bolton. These proceedings, along with probes into other political actors, have shaped trader assessments of arrest timelines through 2026. Ongoing court dates, potential plea negotiations, and any expansion of charges or new enforcement priorities remain key variables that could accelerate or delay resolutions before the market’s cutoff.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Who will be arrested before 2027?
Who will be arrested before 2027?
$101,947 交易量
Lee Jun-seok
50%
John Brennan
70%
Mahmoud Khalil
29%
John Kerry
40%
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero
28%
Letitia James
31%
Tom Homan
22%
James Clapper
20%
Loretta Lynch
12%
Adam Schiff
11%
Anthony Fauci
9%
Candace Owens
7%
Barack Obama
7%
Kash Patel
6%
Hillary Clinton
6%
Susan Rice
5%
Gavin Newsom
5%
Pam Bondi
4%
James Comey
17%
Bill Clinton
4%
Joe Biden
3%
Benjamin Netanyahu
50%
Brandon Johnson
43%
Lisa Cook
48%
$101,947 交易量
Lee Jun-seok
$10 交易量
50%
John Brennan
$6,346 交易量
70%
Mahmoud Khalil
$1,097 交易量
29%
John Kerry
$73 交易量
40%
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero
$6,835 交易量
28%
Letitia James
$1,309 交易量
31%
Tom Homan
$27,599 交易量
22%
James Clapper
$2,436 交易量
20%
Loretta Lynch
$351 交易量
12%
Adam Schiff
$5,893 交易量
11%
Anthony Fauci
$6,113 交易量
9%
Candace Owens
$257 交易量
7%
Barack Obama
$762 交易量
7%
Kash Patel
$153 交易量
6%
Hillary Clinton
$9,299 交易量
6%
Susan Rice
$212 交易量
5%
Gavin Newsom
$18,351 交易量
5%
Pam Bondi
$1,487 交易量
4%
James Comey
$9,204 交易量
17%
Bill Clinton
$331 交易量
4%
Joe Biden
$1,390 交易量
3%
Benjamin Netanyahu
$238 交易量
50%
Brandon Johnson
$1,846 交易量
43%
Lisa Cook
$352 交易量
48%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The second Trump administration’s Department of Justice has advanced federal investigations and indictments targeting former officials from prior administrations and prominent Democratic figures, including actions against ex-FBI Director James Comey, New York Attorney General Letitia James, and former National Security Advisor John Bolton. These proceedings, along with probes into other political actors, have shaped trader assessments of arrest timelines through 2026. Ongoing court dates, potential plea negotiations, and any expansion of charges or new enforcement priorities remain key variables that could accelerate or delay resolutions before the market’s cutoff.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Apr 30, 2026, 5:49 PM ET
交易量
$101,947市场开放时间
Apr 30, 2026, 5:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The second Trump administration’s Department of Justice has advanced federal investigations and indictments targeting former officials from prior administrations and prominent Democratic figures, including actions against ex-FBI Director James Comey, New York Attorney General Letitia James, and former National Security Advisor John Bolton. These proceedings, along with probes into other political actors, have shaped trader assessments of arrest timelines through 2026. Ongoing court dates, potential plea negotiations, and any expansion of charges or new enforcement priorities remain key variables that could accelerate or delay resolutions before the market’s cutoff.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$101,947市场开放时间
Apr 30, 2026, 5:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The second Trump administration’s Department of Justice has advanced federal investigations and indictments targeting former officials from prior administrations and prominent Democratic figures, including actions against ex-FBI Director James Comey, New York Attorney General Letitia James, and former National Security Advisor John Bolton. These proceedings, along with probes into other political actors, have shaped trader assessments of arrest timelines through 2026. Ongoing court dates, potential plea negotiations, and any expansion of charges or new enforcement priorities remain key variables that could accelerate or delay resolutions before the market’s cutoff.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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