Trump has exercised clemency extensively in his second term, issuing over 1,700 pardons and commutations since January 2025, beginning with a broad Jan. 6 action and extending to political allies, crypto executives, fraud defendants, and figures tied to claims of prior overprosecution. An informal process prioritizes direct appeals, donor connections, and alignment with administration priorities over traditional DOJ review. As of September 2026, recent grants include associates of public figures and white-collar cases, while statements on individuals like Michael Cohen have surfaced. Trader odds reflect betting on which listed names—often those with political or financial ties—will receive action before the December 31, 2026 resolution deadline, with momentum tied to White House announcements or lobbying campaigns.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$463,231 Vol.
Roger Stone
22%
Stefan Brodie
20%
Keonne Rodriguez
15%
Ryan Salame
13%
Roger Ver
12%
Matt Gaetz
12%
Daniel Penny
11%
Donald Brodie
11%
Steve Bannon
9%
Eric Adams
9%
Joe Exotic
9%
Young Thug
7%
Julian Assange
6%
Bob Menendez
6%
Martin Shkreli
5%
Andrew Tate
5%
Elizabeth Holmes
5%
Ghislaine Maxwell
5%
Nicolas Maduro
5%
Diddy
4%
Edward Snowden
4%
Sam Bankman-Fried
4%
Derek Chauvin
3%
Himself
3%
Antoine Massey
3%
Do Kwon
3%
Elon Musk
2%
Hunter Biden
1%
$463,231 Vol.
Roger Stone
22%
Stefan Brodie
20%
Keonne Rodriguez
15%
Ryan Salame
13%
Roger Ver
12%
Matt Gaetz
12%
Daniel Penny
11%
Donald Brodie
11%
Steve Bannon
9%
Eric Adams
9%
Joe Exotic
9%
Young Thug
7%
Julian Assange
6%
Bob Menendez
6%
Martin Shkreli
5%
Andrew Tate
5%
Elizabeth Holmes
5%
Ghislaine Maxwell
5%
Nicolas Maduro
5%
Diddy
4%
Edward Snowden
4%
Sam Bankman-Fried
4%
Derek Chauvin
3%
Himself
3%
Antoine Massey
3%
Do Kwon
3%
Elon Musk
2%
Hunter Biden
1%
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Market Opened: Nov 18, 2025, 10:46 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trump has exercised clemency extensively in his second term, issuing over 1,700 pardons and commutations since January 2025, beginning with a broad Jan. 6 action and extending to political allies, crypto executives, fraud defendants, and figures tied to claims of prior overprosecution. An informal process prioritizes direct appeals, donor connections, and alignment with administration priorities over traditional DOJ review. As of September 2026, recent grants include associates of public figures and white-collar cases, while statements on individuals like Michael Cohen have surfaced. Trader odds reflect betting on which listed names—often those with political or financial ties—will receive action before the December 31, 2026 resolution deadline, with momentum tied to White House announcements or lobbying campaigns.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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