Trump has issued over 160 pardons and commutations since January 2025, including a mass action for January 6 defendants, high-profile cases such as Changpeng Zhao and George Santos, plus recent batches covering fraud, firearms violations, and drug offenses. A September 2026 group of 30 clemencies featured individuals like Patrick Adamiak and Emory Jones, often tied to claims of prior overreach or advocacy support. Trader pricing for names like Eric Adams and Steve Bannon reflects their political profiles and any pending matters, while lower odds attach to figures like Sam Bankman-Fried amid Senate opposition and precedent. With the resolution window extending through December 2026, additional actions remain possible before term-end constraints or shifting priorities intervene.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$463,572 Vol.
Donald Brodie
25%
Roger Stone
22%
Stefan Brodie
20%
Keonne Rodriguez
15%
Roger Ver
13%
Ryan Salame
13%
Matt Gaetz
12%
Daniel Penny
11%
Steve Bannon
9%
Eric Adams
9%
Joe Exotic
9%
Young Thug
7%
Julian Assange
6%
Bob Menendez
6%
Martin Shkreli
5%
Elizabeth Holmes
5%
Ghislaine Maxwell
5%
Nicolas Maduro
5%
Andrew Tate
4%
Diddy
4%
Edward Snowden
4%
Sam Bankman-Fried
4%
Antoine Massey
3%
Himself
3%
Derek Chauvin
3%
Do Kwon
3%
Elon Musk
2%
Hunter Biden
1%
$463,572 Vol.
Donald Brodie
25%
Roger Stone
22%
Stefan Brodie
20%
Keonne Rodriguez
15%
Roger Ver
13%
Ryan Salame
13%
Matt Gaetz
12%
Daniel Penny
11%
Steve Bannon
9%
Eric Adams
9%
Joe Exotic
9%
Young Thug
7%
Julian Assange
6%
Bob Menendez
6%
Martin Shkreli
5%
Elizabeth Holmes
5%
Ghislaine Maxwell
5%
Nicolas Maduro
5%
Andrew Tate
4%
Diddy
4%
Edward Snowden
4%
Sam Bankman-Fried
4%
Antoine Massey
3%
Himself
3%
Derek Chauvin
3%
Do Kwon
3%
Elon Musk
2%
Hunter Biden
1%
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Market Opened: Nov 18, 2025, 10:46 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trump has issued over 160 pardons and commutations since January 2025, including a mass action for January 6 defendants, high-profile cases such as Changpeng Zhao and George Santos, plus recent batches covering fraud, firearms violations, and drug offenses. A September 2026 group of 30 clemencies featured individuals like Patrick Adamiak and Emory Jones, often tied to claims of prior overreach or advocacy support. Trader pricing for names like Eric Adams and Steve Bannon reflects their political profiles and any pending matters, while lower odds attach to figures like Sam Bankman-Fried amid Senate opposition and precedent. With the resolution window extending through December 2026, additional actions remain possible before term-end constraints or shifting priorities intervene.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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