Trump has already issued clemency to more than 1,700 individuals in his second term, beginning with blanket pardons and commutations for roughly 1,500 January 6 defendants on inauguration day and extending to 2020 election-related figures such as Rudy Giuliani and Mark Meadows. Subsequent grants have favored political allies, white-collar offenders with connections to Trump insiders or donors, and select cases advanced by a network of lobbyists and influencers operating outside the traditional Department of Justice process. Recent activity includes batches of 17–30 grants in mid-2026, alongside floated proposals for larger symbolic actions tied to the nation’s 250th anniversary. Through September 2026, trader attention centers on which additional connected individuals or categories could receive relief before the 2027 cutoff, amid reports of high-fee advocacy and Democratic pledges to scrutinize the process. Midterm outcomes and any late-term priorities could further shape the scope.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$473,146 Vol.
Roger Stone
26%
Stefan Brodie
20%
Keonne Rodriguez
15%
Ryan Salame
14%
Matt Gaetz
13%
Daniel Penny
11%
Donald Brodie
10%
Steve Bannon
9%
Eric Adams
9%
Joe Exotic
9%
Roger Ver
7%
Young Thug
7%
Bob Menendez
6%
Derek Chauvin
6%
Julian Assange
6%
Elizabeth Holmes
5%
Ghislaine Maxwell
5%
Diddy
4%
Nicolas Maduro
4%
Sam Bankman-Fried
4%
Martin Shkreli
4%
Edward Snowden
4%
Andrew Tate
4%
Antoine Massey
3%
Himself
3%
Do Kwon
3%
Elon Musk
3%
Hunter Biden
3%
$473,146 Vol.
Roger Stone
26%
Stefan Brodie
20%
Keonne Rodriguez
15%
Ryan Salame
14%
Matt Gaetz
13%
Daniel Penny
11%
Donald Brodie
10%
Steve Bannon
9%
Eric Adams
9%
Joe Exotic
9%
Roger Ver
7%
Young Thug
7%
Bob Menendez
6%
Derek Chauvin
6%
Julian Assange
6%
Elizabeth Holmes
5%
Ghislaine Maxwell
5%
Diddy
4%
Nicolas Maduro
4%
Sam Bankman-Fried
4%
Martin Shkreli
4%
Edward Snowden
4%
Andrew Tate
4%
Antoine Massey
3%
Himself
3%
Do Kwon
3%
Elon Musk
3%
Hunter Biden
3%
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Market Opened: Nov 18, 2025, 10:46 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trump has already issued clemency to more than 1,700 individuals in his second term, beginning with blanket pardons and commutations for roughly 1,500 January 6 defendants on inauguration day and extending to 2020 election-related figures such as Rudy Giuliani and Mark Meadows. Subsequent grants have favored political allies, white-collar offenders with connections to Trump insiders or donors, and select cases advanced by a network of lobbyists and influencers operating outside the traditional Department of Justice process. Recent activity includes batches of 17–30 grants in mid-2026, alongside floated proposals for larger symbolic actions tied to the nation’s 250th anniversary. Through September 2026, trader attention centers on which additional connected individuals or categories could receive relief before the 2027 cutoff, amid reports of high-fee advocacy and Democratic pledges to scrutinize the process. Midterm outcomes and any late-term priorities could further shape the scope.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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