President Donald Trump's ongoing second term shows no verified signs of voluntary resignation before 2027, with White House statements and official actions affirming his commitment to serve through at least the 2026 midterms. Trader consensus at 95% "No" reflects dismissal of partisan speculation, such as Democratic strategist James Carville's March predictions of post-midterm probes forcing an exit and potential JD Vance pardon—claims lacking substantiation or primary evidence. Absent health crises, impeachments, or legal convictions triggering removal, historical precedents like Trump's survival of prior impeachments bolster the high implied probability. Upcoming midterm elections and any Democratic House gains could introduce investigations, but current stability drives the lopsided odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$15,427 Vol.
$15,427 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
$15,427 Vol.
$15,427 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President Donald Trump's ongoing second term shows no verified signs of voluntary resignation before 2027, with White House statements and official actions affirming his commitment to serve through at least the 2026 midterms. Trader consensus at 95% "No" reflects dismissal of partisan speculation, such as Democratic strategist James Carville's March predictions of post-midterm probes forcing an exit and potential JD Vance pardon—claims lacking substantiation or primary evidence. Absent health crises, impeachments, or legal convictions triggering removal, historical precedents like Trump's survival of prior impeachments bolster the high implied probability. Upcoming midterm elections and any Democratic House gains could introduce investigations, but current stability drives the lopsided odds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Market Opened: Nov 5, 2025, 5:00 PM ET
Volume
$15,427End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 5, 2025, 5:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President Donald Trump's ongoing second term shows no verified signs of voluntary resignation before 2027, with White House statements and official actions affirming his commitment to serve through at least the 2026 midterms. Trader consensus at 95% "No" reflects dismissal of partisan speculation, such as Democratic strategist James Carville's March predictions of post-midterm probes forcing an exit and potential JD Vance pardon—claims lacking substantiation or primary evidence. Absent health crises, impeachments, or legal convictions triggering removal, historical precedents like Trump's survival of prior impeachments bolster the high implied probability. Upcoming midterm elections and any Democratic House gains could introduce investigations, but current stability drives the lopsided odds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$15,427End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 5, 2025, 5:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Donald Trump's ongoing second term shows no verified signs of voluntary resignation before 2027, with White House statements and official actions affirming his commitment to serve through at least the 2026 midterms. Trader consensus at 95% "No" reflects dismissal of partisan speculation, such as Democratic strategist James Carville's March predictions of post-midterm probes forcing an exit and potential JD Vance pardon—claims lacking substantiation or primary evidence. Absent health crises, impeachments, or legal convictions triggering removal, historical precedents like Trump's survival of prior impeachments bolster the high implied probability. Upcoming midterm elections and any Democratic House gains could introduce investigations, but current stability drives the lopsided odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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