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icon for John Fetterman out by...?

John Fetterman out by...?

icon for John Fetterman out by...?

John Fetterman out by...?

NEW
Dec 30, 2026
Polymarket

$9,652 Vol.

Polymarket

September 30

$2,308 Vol.

4%

December 31

$7,344 Vol.

11%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Fetterman ceases to be U.S. Senator from Pennsylvania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of John Fetterman's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from John Fetterman and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.A September 4 Wall Street Journal report detailing Senator John Fetterman’s limited engagement with constituent meetings, committee hearings, and Pennsylvania events has triggered public calls for his resignation from fellow Pennsylvania Democrats, including former Representative Conor Lamb. The reporting, based on former staff accounts and internal records, highlights his focus on Israel-related advocacy and media appearances over routine Senate work, with his term running through January 2029. No resignation has been announced or filed, and official Senate records confirm his continued service. Former staffers plan additional disclosures when the Senate reconvenes in mid-September. Trader consensus assigns low probability to departure before year-end, reflecting the absence of confirmed intent or procedural triggers despite intraparty pressure.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Fetterman ceases to be U.S. Senator from Pennsylvania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of John Fetterman's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from John Fetterman and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Fetterman ceases to be U.S. Senator from Pennsylvania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of John Fetterman's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from John Fetterman and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$9,652
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 10:34 AM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Fetterman ceases to be U.S. Senator from Pennsylvania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of John Fetterman's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from John Fetterman and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.A September 4 Wall Street Journal report detailing Senator John Fetterman’s limited engagement with constituent meetings, committee hearings, and Pennsylvania events has triggered public calls for his resignation from fellow Pennsylvania Democrats, including former Representative Conor Lamb. The reporting, based on former staff accounts and internal records, highlights his focus on Israel-related advocacy and media appearances over routine Senate work, with his term running through January 2029. No resignation has been announced or filed, and official Senate records confirm his continued service. Former staffers plan additional disclosures when the Senate reconvenes in mid-September. Trader consensus assigns low probability to departure before year-end, reflecting the absence of confirmed intent or procedural triggers despite intraparty pressure.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Fetterman ceases to be U.S. Senator from Pennsylvania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of John Fetterman's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from John Fetterman and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Fetterman ceases to be U.S. Senator from Pennsylvania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of John Fetterman's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from John Fetterman and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$9,652
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 10:34 AM ET

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Frequently Asked Questions

"John Fetterman out by...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "December 31" at 11%, followed by "September 30" at 4%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 11¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 11% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"John Fetterman out by...?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Nov 14, 2025. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "John Fetterman out by...?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "John Fetterman out by...?" is "December 31" at 11%, meaning the market assigns a 11% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "September 30" at 4%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "John Fetterman out by...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.