Currently, Republicans hold 26 governorships to Democrats’ 24 ahead of 36 contests in November 2026. The market remains tight between the 22–23 and 24–25 ranges because 18 of the seats feature incumbents seeking reelection while 21 are open, with nine Republican-held positions affected by term limits or retirements compared with six Democratic ones. Polling and race ratings reflect competitive dynamics in several states, including Kansas, Michigan, and various battlegrounds where candidate strength, state partisan leans, and typical midterm patterns for the party controlling the White House could produce modest net shifts in either direction. Trader consensus therefore clusters around outcomes near the current balance, with separation likely to emerge from primary results, candidate recruitment, and polling trends in the remaining open-seat contests over the next three months.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated24–25 28%
22–23 24%
<22 24%
26–27 14%
$686,285 Vol.
$686,285 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
<22
24%
22–23
24%
24–25
18%
26–27
14%
28–29
4%
30–31
7%
32+
5%
24–25 28%
22–23 24%
<22 24%
26–27 14%
$686,285 Vol.
$686,285 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
<22
$47,974 Vol.
24%
22–23
$8,754 Vol.
24%
24–25
$31,831 Vol.
18%
26–27
$17,362 Vol.
14%
28–29
$557,463 Vol.
4%
30–31
$7,648 Vol.
7%
32+
$15,253 Vol.
5%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of United States governor’s seats that will be held by the Republican Party as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected. If a governor-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the individual was elected.
For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current governor who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the governor was affiliated at the time of the election.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, and a consensus of credible reporting.Currently, Republicans hold 26 governorships to Democrats’ 24 ahead of 36 contests in November 2026. The market remains tight between the 22–23 and 24–25 ranges because 18 of the seats feature incumbents seeking reelection while 21 are open, with nine Republican-held positions affected by term limits or retirements compared with six Democratic ones. Polling and race ratings reflect competitive dynamics in several states, including Kansas, Michigan, and various battlegrounds where candidate strength, state partisan leans, and typical midterm patterns for the party controlling the White House could produce modest net shifts in either direction. Trader consensus therefore clusters around outcomes near the current balance, with separation likely to emerge from primary results, candidate recruitment, and polling trends in the remaining open-seat contests over the next three months.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of United States governor’s seats that will be held by the Republican Party as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected. If a governor-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the individual was elected.
For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current governor who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the governor was affiliated at the time of the election.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the number of United States governor’s seats that will be held by the Republican Party as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected. If a governor-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the individual was elected.
For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current governor who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the governor was affiliated at the time of the election.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Dec 15, 2025, 8:21 AM ET
Volume
$686,285End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Dec 15, 2025, 8:21 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of United States governor’s seats that will be held by the Republican Party as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected. If a governor-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the individual was elected.
For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current governor who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the governor was affiliated at the time of the election.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, and a consensus of credible reporting.Currently, Republicans hold 26 governorships to Democrats’ 24 ahead of 36 contests in November 2026. The market remains tight between the 22–23 and 24–25 ranges because 18 of the seats feature incumbents seeking reelection while 21 are open, with nine Republican-held positions affected by term limits or retirements compared with six Democratic ones. Polling and race ratings reflect competitive dynamics in several states, including Kansas, Michigan, and various battlegrounds where candidate strength, state partisan leans, and typical midterm patterns for the party controlling the White House could produce modest net shifts in either direction. Trader consensus therefore clusters around outcomes near the current balance, with separation likely to emerge from primary results, candidate recruitment, and polling trends in the remaining open-seat contests over the next three months.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of United States governor’s seats that will be held by the Republican Party as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected. If a governor-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the individual was elected.
For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current governor who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the governor was affiliated at the time of the election.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the number of United States governor’s seats that will be held by the Republican Party as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected. If a governor-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the individual was elected.
For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current governor who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the governor was affiliated at the time of the election.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$686,285End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Dec 15, 2025, 8:21 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Currently, Republicans hold 26 governorships to Democrats’ 24 ahead of 36 contests in November 2026. The market remains tight between the 22–23 and 24–25 ranges because 18 of the seats feature incumbents seeking reelection while 21 are open, with nine Republican-held positions affected by term limits or retirements compared with six Democratic ones. Polling and race ratings reflect competitive dynamics in several states, including Kansas, Michigan, and various battlegrounds where candidate strength, state partisan leans, and typical midterm patterns for the party controlling the White House could produce modest net shifts in either direction. Trader consensus therefore clusters around outcomes near the current balance, with separation likely to emerge from primary results, candidate recruitment, and polling trends in the remaining open-seat contests over the next three months.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedRelated
Will Republican Senate incumbents not win in exactly three nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?
53%
Will Republican House incumbents not win in between four and six nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?
93%
Will the Republican Party hold between 195 and 199 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
24%
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