The Republican Party holds an 87.5% implied probability in the KS-02 House race due to the district's consistent partisan lean, reflected in its R+10 Cook Partisan Voter Index and "Solid Republican" or "Safe Republican" ratings from forecasters including Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Incumbent Republican Derek Schmidt, who captured 57.1% in 2024, faces minimal primary opposition ahead of the August 4 contest and benefits from the seat's eastern Kansas geography spanning Topeka, Emporia, and surrounding areas. Traders price Democratic chances at 13% amid limited evidence of a strong challenger in the August Democratic primary or general election, consistent with the district's voting patterns in recent presidential and congressional cycles. No major shifts from polling, endorsements, or campaign finance have altered this positioning as of mid-June 2026.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoKS-02 House Election Winner
KS-02 House Election Winner
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
88%
Democratic Party
13%
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$2,109 Wol.
88%
Democratic Party
$4,584 Wol.
13%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican Party holds an 87.5% implied probability in the KS-02 House race due to the district's consistent partisan lean, reflected in its R+10 Cook Partisan Voter Index and "Solid Republican" or "Safe Republican" ratings from forecasters including Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Incumbent Republican Derek Schmidt, who captured 57.1% in 2024, faces minimal primary opposition ahead of the August 4 contest and benefits from the seat's eastern Kansas geography spanning Topeka, Emporia, and surrounding areas. Traders price Democratic chances at 13% amid limited evidence of a strong challenger in the August Democratic primary or general election, consistent with the district's voting patterns in recent presidential and congressional cycles. No major shifts from polling, endorsements, or campaign finance have altered this positioning as of mid-June 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Wolumen
$6,693Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican Party holds an 87.5% implied probability in the KS-02 House race due to the district's consistent partisan lean, reflected in its R+10 Cook Partisan Voter Index and "Solid Republican" or "Safe Republican" ratings from forecasters including Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Incumbent Republican Derek Schmidt, who captured 57.1% in 2024, faces minimal primary opposition ahead of the August 4 contest and benefits from the seat's eastern Kansas geography spanning Topeka, Emporia, and surrounding areas. Traders price Democratic chances at 13% amid limited evidence of a strong challenger in the August Democratic primary or general election, consistent with the district's voting patterns in recent presidential and congressional cycles. No major shifts from polling, endorsements, or campaign finance have altered this positioning as of mid-June 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$6,693Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Republican Party holds an 87.5% implied probability in the KS-02 House race due to the district's consistent partisan lean, reflected in its R+10 Cook Partisan Voter Index and "Solid Republican" or "Safe Republican" ratings from forecasters including Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Incumbent Republican Derek Schmidt, who captured 57.1% in 2024, faces minimal primary opposition ahead of the August 4 contest and benefits from the seat's eastern Kansas geography spanning Topeka, Emporia, and surrounding areas. Traders price Democratic chances at 13% amid limited evidence of a strong challenger in the August Democratic primary or general election, consistent with the district's voting patterns in recent presidential and congressional cycles. No major shifts from polling, endorsements, or campaign finance have altered this positioning as of mid-June 2026.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania