The Republican Party holds a commanding lead in the KS-01 House race due to the district’s R+16 Cook Partisan Voter Index, reflecting consistent strong Republican performance in recent presidential elections. Incumbent Republican Tracey Mann faces minimal opposition, with Democratic primary contenders Colin McRoberts and Lauren Reinhold showing limited fundraising and visibility ahead of the August 2026 primaries. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican. A national political shift, unusually high Democratic turnout in rural Kansas areas, or late developments in candidate recruitment could narrow the margin, though structural factors and historical voting patterns continue to anchor trader consensus on the outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
93%
民主党
7%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
$3,284 交易量
93%
民主党
$2,934 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican Party holds a commanding lead in the KS-01 House race due to the district’s R+16 Cook Partisan Voter Index, reflecting consistent strong Republican performance in recent presidential elections. Incumbent Republican Tracey Mann faces minimal opposition, with Democratic primary contenders Colin McRoberts and Lauren Reinhold showing limited fundraising and visibility ahead of the August 2026 primaries. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican. A national political shift, unusually high Democratic turnout in rural Kansas areas, or late developments in candidate recruitment could narrow the margin, though structural factors and historical voting patterns continue to anchor trader consensus on the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$6,218结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican Party holds a commanding lead in the KS-01 House race due to the district’s R+16 Cook Partisan Voter Index, reflecting consistent strong Republican performance in recent presidential elections. Incumbent Republican Tracey Mann faces minimal opposition, with Democratic primary contenders Colin McRoberts and Lauren Reinhold showing limited fundraising and visibility ahead of the August 2026 primaries. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican. A national political shift, unusually high Democratic turnout in rural Kansas areas, or late developments in candidate recruitment could narrow the margin, though structural factors and historical voting patterns continue to anchor trader consensus on the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$6,218结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Republican Party holds a commanding lead in the KS-01 House race due to the district’s R+16 Cook Partisan Voter Index, reflecting consistent strong Republican performance in recent presidential elections. Incumbent Republican Tracey Mann faces minimal opposition, with Democratic primary contenders Colin McRoberts and Lauren Reinhold showing limited fundraising and visibility ahead of the August 2026 primaries. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican. A national political shift, unusually high Democratic turnout in rural Kansas areas, or late developments in candidate recruitment could narrow the margin, though structural factors and historical voting patterns continue to anchor trader consensus on the outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题