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Politics·Primaries

NH-02 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for NH-02 Democratic Primary Winner
Politics·Primaries

NH-02 Democratic Primary Winner

Polymarket
NEW
Polymarket
NEW
icon for Maggie Goodlander

Maggie Goodlander

$87 Vol.

93%

icon for Paige Beauchemin

Paige Beauchemin

$22 Vol.

6%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NH-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Maggie Goodlander holds a commanding position in the September 8 Democratic primary for New Hampshire’s 2nd Congressional District as the incumbent who won the seat in 2024. Recent polling from the University of New Hampshire and Saint Anselm College shows her leading challenger Paige Beauchemin by wide margins of 40 points or more among likely voters, while fundraising data through mid-August reveals Goodlander raised over $4 million compared with Beauchemin’s roughly $44,000. Other potential Democratic entrants withdrew before the June filing deadline, leaving a two-candidate field. Trader consensus reflected in the 93% odds for Goodlander aligns with these structural advantages and the short timeline before voting; an upset would require a sharp late shift in turnout or an unforeseen development in the final week.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NH-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 8, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$109
End Date
Sep 8, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 1:59 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NH-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NH-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Maggie Goodlander holds a commanding position in the September 8 Democratic primary for New Hampshire’s 2nd Congressional District as the incumbent who won the seat in 2024. Recent polling from the University of New Hampshire and Saint Anselm College shows her leading challenger Paige Beauchemin by wide margins of 40 points or more among likely voters, while fundraising data through mid-August reveals Goodlander raised over $4 million compared with Beauchemin’s roughly $44,000. Other potential Democratic entrants withdrew before the June filing deadline, leaving a two-candidate field. Trader consensus reflected in the 93% odds for Goodlander aligns with these structural advantages and the short timeline before voting; an upset would require a sharp late shift in turnout or an unforeseen development in the final week.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NH-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 8, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$109
End Date
Sep 8, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 1:59 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NH-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"NH-02 Democratic Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Maggie Goodlander" at 93%, followed by "Paige Beauchemin" at 6%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 93¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 93% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"NH-02 Democratic Primary Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 1, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "NH-02 Democratic Primary Winner," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "NH-02 Democratic Primary Winner" is "Maggie Goodlander" at 93%, meaning the market assigns a 93% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Paige Beauchemin" at 6%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "NH-02 Democratic Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.