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Business predictions & odds

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Largest Company end of June?

Largest Company end of June?

93%

NVIDIA

$7M Vol.

$284K today

$886K Liq.

79

Ends in 2 months

Largest Company end of April?

Largest Company end of April?

100%

NVIDIA

$13M Vol.

$224K today

$2M Liq.

1

Ends in 4 days

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

39%

0 (0 bps)

$21M Vol.

$176K today

$2M Liq.

57

Ends in 8 months

2nd largest company end of April?

2nd largest company end of April?

89%

Alphabet

$2M Vol.

$295K Liq.

Ends in 4 days

Largest Company end of May?

Largest Company end of May?

97%

NVIDIA

$83.2K Vol.

$246K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

IPOs before 2027?

IPOs before 2027?

95%

SpaceX

$6M Vol.

$210K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

3rd largest company end of April?

3rd largest company end of April?

90%

Apple

$993K Vol.

$161K Liq.

Ends in 4 days

Largest Company end of December 2026?

Largest Company end of December 2026?

73%

NVIDIA

$2M Vol.

$602K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Which companies will be acquired before 2027?

Which companies will be acquired before 2027?

77%

Cursor

$18M Vol.

$105K Liq.

19

Ends in 8 months

US GDP growth in Q1 2026?

US GDP growth in Q1 2026?

25%

1.5–2.0%

$368K Vol.

$36.0K Liq.

Ends in 4 days

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

90%

SpaceX

$2M Vol.

$237K Liq.

10

Ends in 8 months

US recession by end of 2026?

US recession by end of 2026?

25%

$1M Vol.

$71.0K Liq.

64

Ends in 9 months

Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?

Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?

35%

OpenAI

$1M Vol.

$47.8K Liq.

25

Ends in 2 months

Ben Pasternak jailed?

Ben Pasternak jailed?

20%

$16.8K Vol.

$11.2K Liq.

3

Ends in 8 months

Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?

Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?

1%

$3M Vol.

$107K Liq.

81

Ends in 2 months

GPU rental prices (H100) hit___ by April 30?

GPU rental prices (H100) hit___ by April 30?

11%

↑ $2.75

$556K Vol.

$28.3K Liq.

Ends in 4 days

Which banks will fail by June 30?

Which banks will fail by June 30?

3%

Wells Fargo

$463K Vol.

$86.8K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?

US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?

55%

$19.8K Vol.

$10.5K Liq.

3

Ends in 2 months

Gemini 3.5 released by...?

Gemini 3.5 released by...?

35%

June 30

$895K Vol.

$40.8K Liq.

50

Ends in 2 months

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by ___ ?

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by ___ ?

10%

December 31, 2026

$22M Vol.

$119K Liq.

236

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Business.

Polymarket currently hosts 20 active markets for Business that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Largest Company end of June?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $101.6M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “US recession by end of 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by ___ ?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by ___ ?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 10% chance to December 31, 2026. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Business predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.