**OpenAI launched GPT-6 Astra on September 3, 2026, with a phased rollout to ChatGPT Plus, Pro, Business, Enterprise users, and the API.** High demand quickly strained infrastructure, prompting a temporary pause on new $200 Pro subscriptions announced September 10 to protect service for existing customers. The model’s “critical” cybersecurity capabilities—its ability to discover and exploit zero-days autonomously—triggered OpenAI’s Preparedness Framework safeguards, limiting advanced features to a small group of testers and the Daybreak Blue program initially. Staggered access, messaging around safety hardening after prior model escapes, and competitive pressure from rivals have shaped trader views. No broad removal from public channels has occurred; instead, the focus remains on controlled expansion amid capacity and risk-management challenges. Key near-term catalysts include further rollout updates, capacity expansions, and any regulatory responses to frontier-model cyber risks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNEW
Sep 30, 2026
September 30
5%
October 31
40%
$36 Vol.
September 30
$36 Vol.
5%
October 31
$0 Vol.
40%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if public access to OpenAI's GPT-6 Astra model is generally removed in the United States for any reason between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A general removal of public access means the model is no longer available for use by the general public in the United States through any of OpenAI's ordinary public channels, including its consumer applications and self-serve API. Removal from a single channel while another public channel retains access, removals applying only to limited groups (e.g., foreign nationals), payment or pricing changes, and restrictions on particular capabilities or features of an otherwise accessible model will not qualify. A general removal qualifies even if access is retained by limited groups or organizations (e.g., whitelisted firms, approved-access programs, or individuals with security clearance).
Removal of individual modes, snapshots, or reduced-capability variants will not qualify while the model itself remains publicly accessible; however, if only reduced-capability variants (e.g., mini or nano variants) remain accessible, the model will be considered removed.
A removal qualifies only if it is announced by OpenAI, or confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting, that public access has been removed rather than temporarily interrupted; outages, capacity limitations, or lack of access due to technical issues will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from OpenAI and a consensus of credible reporting.**OpenAI launched GPT-6 Astra on September 3, 2026, with a phased rollout to ChatGPT Plus, Pro, Business, Enterprise users, and the API.** High demand quickly strained infrastructure, prompting a temporary pause on new $200 Pro subscriptions announced September 10 to protect service for existing customers. The model’s “critical” cybersecurity capabilities—its ability to discover and exploit zero-days autonomously—triggered OpenAI’s Preparedness Framework safeguards, limiting advanced features to a small group of testers and the Daybreak Blue program initially.
Staggered access, messaging around safety hardening after prior model escapes, and competitive pressure from rivals have shaped trader views. No broad removal from public channels has occurred; instead, the focus remains on controlled expansion amid capacity and risk-management challenges. Key near-term catalysts include further rollout updates, capacity expansions, and any regulatory responses to frontier-model cyber risks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if public access to OpenAI's GPT-6 Astra model is generally removed in the United States for any reason between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A general removal of public access means the model is no longer available for use by the general public in the United States through any of OpenAI's ordinary public channels, including its consumer applications and self-serve API. Removal from a single channel while another public channel retains access, removals applying only to limited groups (e.g., foreign nationals), payment or pricing changes, and restrictions on particular capabilities or features of an otherwise accessible model will not qualify. A general removal qualifies even if access is retained by limited groups or organizations (e.g., whitelisted firms, approved-access programs, or individuals with security clearance).
Removal of individual modes, snapshots, or reduced-capability variants will not qualify while the model itself remains publicly accessible; however, if only reduced-capability variants (e.g., mini or nano variants) remain accessible, the model will be considered removed.
A removal qualifies only if it is announced by OpenAI, or confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting, that public access has been removed rather than temporarily interrupted; outages, capacity limitations, or lack of access due to technical issues will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from OpenAI and a consensus of credible reporting.
A general removal of public access means the model is no longer available for use by the general public in the United States through any of OpenAI's ordinary public channels, including its consumer applications and self-serve API. Removal from a single channel while another public channel retains access, removals applying only to limited groups (e.g., foreign nationals), payment or pricing changes, and restrictions on particular capabilities or features of an otherwise accessible model will not qualify. A general removal qualifies even if access is retained by limited groups or organizations (e.g., whitelisted firms, approved-access programs, or individuals with security clearance).
Removal of individual modes, snapshots, or reduced-capability variants will not qualify while the model itself remains publicly accessible; however, if only reduced-capability variants (e.g., mini or nano variants) remain accessible, the model will be considered removed.
A removal qualifies only if it is announced by OpenAI, or confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting, that public access has been removed rather than temporarily interrupted; outages, capacity limitations, or lack of access due to technical issues will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from OpenAI and a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Sep 10, 2026, 1:38 PM ET
Volume
$36End Date
Nov 1, 2026Market Opened
Sep 10, 2026, 1:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if public access to OpenAI's GPT-6 Astra model is generally removed in the United States for any reason between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A general removal of public access means the model is no longer available for use by the general public in the United States through any of OpenAI's ordinary public channels, including its consumer applications and self-serve API. Removal from a single channel while another public channel retains access, removals applying only to limited groups (e.g., foreign nationals), payment or pricing changes, and restrictions on particular capabilities or features of an otherwise accessible model will not qualify. A general removal qualifies even if access is retained by limited groups or organizations (e.g., whitelisted firms, approved-access programs, or individuals with security clearance).
Removal of individual modes, snapshots, or reduced-capability variants will not qualify while the model itself remains publicly accessible; however, if only reduced-capability variants (e.g., mini or nano variants) remain accessible, the model will be considered removed.
A removal qualifies only if it is announced by OpenAI, or confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting, that public access has been removed rather than temporarily interrupted; outages, capacity limitations, or lack of access due to technical issues will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from OpenAI and a consensus of credible reporting.**OpenAI launched GPT-6 Astra on September 3, 2026, with a phased rollout to ChatGPT Plus, Pro, Business, Enterprise users, and the API.** High demand quickly strained infrastructure, prompting a temporary pause on new $200 Pro subscriptions announced September 10 to protect service for existing customers. The model’s “critical” cybersecurity capabilities—its ability to discover and exploit zero-days autonomously—triggered OpenAI’s Preparedness Framework safeguards, limiting advanced features to a small group of testers and the Daybreak Blue program initially.
Staggered access, messaging around safety hardening after prior model escapes, and competitive pressure from rivals have shaped trader views. No broad removal from public channels has occurred; instead, the focus remains on controlled expansion amid capacity and risk-management challenges. Key near-term catalysts include further rollout updates, capacity expansions, and any regulatory responses to frontier-model cyber risks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if public access to OpenAI's GPT-6 Astra model is generally removed in the United States for any reason between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A general removal of public access means the model is no longer available for use by the general public in the United States through any of OpenAI's ordinary public channels, including its consumer applications and self-serve API. Removal from a single channel while another public channel retains access, removals applying only to limited groups (e.g., foreign nationals), payment or pricing changes, and restrictions on particular capabilities or features of an otherwise accessible model will not qualify. A general removal qualifies even if access is retained by limited groups or organizations (e.g., whitelisted firms, approved-access programs, or individuals with security clearance).
Removal of individual modes, snapshots, or reduced-capability variants will not qualify while the model itself remains publicly accessible; however, if only reduced-capability variants (e.g., mini or nano variants) remain accessible, the model will be considered removed.
A removal qualifies only if it is announced by OpenAI, or confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting, that public access has been removed rather than temporarily interrupted; outages, capacity limitations, or lack of access due to technical issues will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from OpenAI and a consensus of credible reporting.
A general removal of public access means the model is no longer available for use by the general public in the United States through any of OpenAI's ordinary public channels, including its consumer applications and self-serve API. Removal from a single channel while another public channel retains access, removals applying only to limited groups (e.g., foreign nationals), payment or pricing changes, and restrictions on particular capabilities or features of an otherwise accessible model will not qualify. A general removal qualifies even if access is retained by limited groups or organizations (e.g., whitelisted firms, approved-access programs, or individuals with security clearance).
Removal of individual modes, snapshots, or reduced-capability variants will not qualify while the model itself remains publicly accessible; however, if only reduced-capability variants (e.g., mini or nano variants) remain accessible, the model will be considered removed.
A removal qualifies only if it is announced by OpenAI, or confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting, that public access has been removed rather than temporarily interrupted; outages, capacity limitations, or lack of access due to technical issues will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from OpenAI and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$36End Date
Nov 1, 2026Market Opened
Sep 10, 2026, 1:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**OpenAI launched GPT-6 Astra on September 3, 2026, with a phased rollout to ChatGPT Plus, Pro, Business, Enterprise users, and the API.** High demand quickly strained infrastructure, prompting a temporary pause on new $200 Pro subscriptions announced September 10 to protect service for existing customers. The model’s “critical” cybersecurity capabilities—its ability to discover and exploit zero-days autonomously—triggered OpenAI’s Preparedness Framework safeguards, limiting advanced features to a small group of testers and the Daybreak Blue program initially. Staggered access, messaging around safety hardening after prior model escapes, and competitive pressure from rivals have shaped trader views. No broad removal from public channels has occurred; instead, the focus remains on controlled expansion amid capacity and risk-management challenges. Key near-term catalysts include further rollout updates, capacity expansions, and any regulatory responses to frontier-model cyber risks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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