Recent SEC filing on September 1 positions SB Energy for a potential late-2026 Nasdaq debut as an AI data center and power infrastructure provider, with 8.8 GW contracted capacity, a $439 billion backlog, Nvidia's $1.5 billion private placement, and OpenAI warrants and leases driving the $50B–$60B valuation consensus. Trader odds reflect execution risks from heavy H1 losses, dependence on AI spending sustainability, and typical IPO timeline slippage amid market volatility, while the 37% probability of no closing before 2027 captures regulatory review and broader tech sentiment hurdles. Competitive differentiation rests on integrated renewable power assets and major tenant commitments versus pure-play data center peers.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$70B-$80B 41%
No IPO before January 2027 38%
$80B-$100B 35%
$40B-$50B 35%
NEW
NEW
Dec 31, 2026
<$40B
29%
$40B-$50B
35%
$50B-$60B
31%
$60B-$70B
32%
$70B-$80B
41%
$80B-$100B
35%
$100B-$125B
32%
$125B+
32%
No IPO before January 2027
38%
$70B-$80B 41%
No IPO before January 2027 38%
$80B-$100B 35%
$40B-$50B 35%
NEW
NEW
Dec 31, 2026
<$40B
$0 Vol.
29%
$40B-$50B
$0 Vol.
35%
$50B-$60B
$0 Vol.
31%
$60B-$70B
$0 Vol.
32%
$70B-$80B
$0 Vol.
41%
$80B-$100B
$0 Vol.
35%
$100B-$125B
$0 Vol.
32%
$125B+
$0 Vol.
32%
No IPO before January 2027
$0 Vol.
38%
This market will resolve based on SB Energy's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before January 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Recent SEC filing on September 1 positions SB Energy for a potential late-2026 Nasdaq debut as an AI data center and power infrastructure provider, with 8.8 GW contracted capacity, a $439 billion backlog, Nvidia's $1.5 billion private placement, and OpenAI warrants and leases driving the $50B–$60B valuation consensus. Trader odds reflect execution risks from heavy H1 losses, dependence on AI spending sustainability, and typical IPO timeline slippage amid market volatility, while the 37% probability of no closing before 2027 captures regulatory review and broader tech sentiment hurdles. Competitive differentiation rests on integrated renewable power assets and major tenant commitments versus pure-play data center peers.
This market will resolve based on SB Energy's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before January 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before January 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Market Opened: Sep 9, 2026, 5:07 PM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Sep 9, 2026, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on SB Energy's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before January 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Recent SEC filing on September 1 positions SB Energy for a potential late-2026 Nasdaq debut as an AI data center and power infrastructure provider, with 8.8 GW contracted capacity, a $439 billion backlog, Nvidia's $1.5 billion private placement, and OpenAI warrants and leases driving the $50B–$60B valuation consensus. Trader odds reflect execution risks from heavy H1 losses, dependence on AI spending sustainability, and typical IPO timeline slippage amid market volatility, while the 37% probability of no closing before 2027 captures regulatory review and broader tech sentiment hurdles. Competitive differentiation rests on integrated renewable power assets and major tenant commitments versus pure-play data center peers.
This market will resolve based on SB Energy's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before January 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before January 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Volume
$0End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Sep 9, 2026, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent SEC filing on September 1 positions SB Energy for a potential late-2026 Nasdaq debut as an AI data center and power infrastructure provider, with 8.8 GW contracted capacity, a $439 billion backlog, Nvidia's $1.5 billion private placement, and OpenAI warrants and leases driving the $50B–$60B valuation consensus. Trader odds reflect execution risks from heavy H1 losses, dependence on AI spending sustainability, and typical IPO timeline slippage amid market volatility, while the 37% probability of no closing before 2027 captures regulatory review and broader tech sentiment hurdles. Competitive differentiation rests on integrated renewable power assets and major tenant commitments versus pure-play data center peers.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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Frequently Asked Questions