Oura’s May 2026 confidential SEC filing after an $11 billion private valuation from its late-2025 Series E round underpins trader sentiment, with revenue projected to reach $1.5–2 billion in 2026 on 5.5 million rings sold. Market-implied odds favor a $17.5–20 billion IPO closing market cap because strong wearable demand, AI-driven health features, and planned Goldman Sachs-led listing later this year support premium multiples, yet closely matched probabilities across $7.5–20 billion buckets reflect uncertainty over SEC review timing, broader equity market conditions, and competition from established device makers. Recent tender offers at a discount highlight valuation sensitivity ahead of any public debut.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$20B+ 18%
$17.5B–$20B 16%
$7.5B–$10B 14%
$10B–$12.5B 13%
$66,729 Vol.
$66,729 Vol.
<$7.5B
12%
$7.5B–$10B
14%
$10B–$12.5B
13%
$12.5B–$15B
9%
$15B–$17.5B
13%
$17.5B–$20B
16%
$20B+
18%
No IPO before January 2027
11%
$20B+ 18%
$17.5B–$20B 16%
$7.5B–$10B 14%
$10B–$12.5B 13%
$66,729 Vol.
$66,729 Vol.
<$7.5B
12%
$7.5B–$10B
14%
$10B–$12.5B
13%
$12.5B–$15B
9%
$15B–$17.5B
13%
$17.5B–$20B
16%
$20B+
18%
No IPO before January 2027
11%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before January 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Oura’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Market Opened: May 26, 2026, 12:28 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before January 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Oura’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Oura’s May 2026 confidential SEC filing after an $11 billion private valuation from its late-2025 Series E round underpins trader sentiment, with revenue projected to reach $1.5–2 billion in 2026 on 5.5 million rings sold. Market-implied odds favor a $17.5–20 billion IPO closing market cap because strong wearable demand, AI-driven health features, and planned Goldman Sachs-led listing later this year support premium multiples, yet closely matched probabilities across $7.5–20 billion buckets reflect uncertainty over SEC review timing, broader equity market conditions, and competition from established device makers. Recent tender offers at a discount highlight valuation sensitivity ahead of any public debut.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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