Oura’s SEC filing on September 3 revealed nine-month revenue of $1.21 billion, up 74% year-over-year, with membership revenue growing 121% at 89% gross margins and five million paid members at 85% retention, underpinning trader consensus for an elevated first-day market cap. This momentum, building on fiscal 2025 revenue of roughly $908 million and a prior $11 billion private valuation, supports the market-implied odds of 42% for a $20 billion-plus close and 28.5% for the $15–17.5 billion range ahead of an expected September Nasdaq listing targeting more than $16 billion. A constructive IPO window, high recurring revenue mix, and plans to raise up to $3 billion further reinforce positioning in the upper brackets, though execution on pricing and any litigation overhang remain key variables.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$20B+ 43%
$15B–$17.5B 28%
$17.5B–$20B 17%
$12.5B–$15B 10%
$421,079 Vol.
$421,079 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
<$7.5B
<1%
$7.5B–$10B
<1%
$10B–$12.5B
3%
$12.5B–$15B
10%
$15B–$17.5B
28%
$17.5B–$20B
17%
$20B+
43%
No IPO before January 2027
<1%
$20B+ 43%
$15B–$17.5B 28%
$17.5B–$20B 17%
$12.5B–$15B 10%
$421,079 Vol.
$421,079 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
<$7.5B
$59,444 Vol.
<1%
$7.5B–$10B
$83,113 Vol.
<1%
$10B–$12.5B
$72,399 Vol.
3%
$12.5B–$15B
$73,768 Vol.
10%
$15B–$17.5B
$45,225 Vol.
28%
$17.5B–$20B
$33,009 Vol.
17%
$20B+
$43,944 Vol.
43%
No IPO before January 2027
$10,177 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on Oura's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before January 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Oura’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Oura’s SEC filing on September 3 revealed nine-month revenue of $1.21 billion, up 74% year-over-year, with membership revenue growing 121% at 89% gross margins and five million paid members at 85% retention, underpinning trader consensus for an elevated first-day market cap. This momentum, building on fiscal 2025 revenue of roughly $908 million and a prior $11 billion private valuation, supports the market-implied odds of 42% for a $20 billion-plus close and 28.5% for the $15–17.5 billion range ahead of an expected September Nasdaq listing targeting more than $16 billion. A constructive IPO window, high recurring revenue mix, and plans to raise up to $3 billion further reinforce positioning in the upper brackets, though execution on pricing and any litigation overhang remain key variables.
This market will resolve based on Oura's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before January 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Oura’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before January 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Oura’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Market Opened: May 26, 2026, 12:28 PM ET
Volume
$421,079End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
May 26, 2026, 12:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on Oura's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before January 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Oura’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Oura’s SEC filing on September 3 revealed nine-month revenue of $1.21 billion, up 74% year-over-year, with membership revenue growing 121% at 89% gross margins and five million paid members at 85% retention, underpinning trader consensus for an elevated first-day market cap. This momentum, building on fiscal 2025 revenue of roughly $908 million and a prior $11 billion private valuation, supports the market-implied odds of 42% for a $20 billion-plus close and 28.5% for the $15–17.5 billion range ahead of an expected September Nasdaq listing targeting more than $16 billion. A constructive IPO window, high recurring revenue mix, and plans to raise up to $3 billion further reinforce positioning in the upper brackets, though execution on pricing and any litigation overhang remain key variables.
This market will resolve based on Oura's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before January 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Oura’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before January 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Oura’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$421,079End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
May 26, 2026, 12:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Oura’s SEC filing on September 3 revealed nine-month revenue of $1.21 billion, up 74% year-over-year, with membership revenue growing 121% at 89% gross margins and five million paid members at 85% retention, underpinning trader consensus for an elevated first-day market cap. This momentum, building on fiscal 2025 revenue of roughly $908 million and a prior $11 billion private valuation, supports the market-implied odds of 42% for a $20 billion-plus close and 28.5% for the $15–17.5 billion range ahead of an expected September Nasdaq listing targeting more than $16 billion. A constructive IPO window, high recurring revenue mix, and plans to raise up to $3 billion further reinforce positioning in the upper brackets, though execution on pricing and any litigation overhang remain key variables.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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