Elevated April 2026 inflation readings, with headline CPI reaching 3.8% year-over-year amid energy price spikes and Middle East tensions, alongside persistent core PCE near 3.3%, have shifted trader focus from rate cuts toward a prolonged hold at the current 3.50-3.75% federal funds target. A resilient labor market, with unemployment near 4.3% and steady payroll gains, has reinforced the Fed’s data-dependent stance and emphasis on upside inflation risks in the April FOMC minutes. Futures markets now price modest tightening to around 3.8% by year-end, yet the 59.5% probability of no hike in 2026 reflects the view that any firming remains conditional on further price pressures rather than a baseline path. The June 16-17 FOMC meeting and updated dot plot represent the next key catalyst.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডহ্যাঁ
$1,379,355 Vol.
$1,379,355 Vol.
Dec 9, 2026
হ্যাঁ
$1,379,355 Vol.
$1,379,355 Vol.
Dec 9, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Elevated April 2026 inflation readings, with headline CPI reaching 3.8% year-over-year amid energy price spikes and Middle East tensions, alongside persistent core PCE near 3.3%, have shifted trader focus from rate cuts toward a prolonged hold at the current 3.50-3.75% federal funds target. A resilient labor market, with unemployment near 4.3% and steady payroll gains, has reinforced the Fed’s data-dependent stance and emphasis on upside inflation risks in the April FOMC minutes. Futures markets now price modest tightening to around 3.8% by year-end, yet the 59.5% probability of no hike in 2026 reflects the view that any firming remains conditional on further price pressures rather than a baseline path. The June 16-17 FOMC meeting and updated dot plot represent the next key catalyst.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ET
ভলিউম
$1,379,355শেষ তারিখ
Dec 9, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Elevated April 2026 inflation readings, with headline CPI reaching 3.8% year-over-year amid energy price spikes and Middle East tensions, alongside persistent core PCE near 3.3%, have shifted trader focus from rate cuts toward a prolonged hold at the current 3.50-3.75% federal funds target. A resilient labor market, with unemployment near 4.3% and steady payroll gains, has reinforced the Fed’s data-dependent stance and emphasis on upside inflation risks in the April FOMC minutes. Futures markets now price modest tightening to around 3.8% by year-end, yet the 59.5% probability of no hike in 2026 reflects the view that any firming remains conditional on further price pressures rather than a baseline path. The June 16-17 FOMC meeting and updated dot plot represent the next key catalyst.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ভলিউম
$1,379,371শেষ তারিখ
Dec 9, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Elevated April 2026 inflation readings, with headline CPI reaching 3.8% year-over-year amid energy price spikes and Middle East tensions, alongside persistent core PCE near 3.3%, have shifted trader focus from rate cuts toward a prolonged hold at the current 3.50-3.75% federal funds target. A resilient labor market, with unemployment near 4.3% and steady payroll gains, has reinforced the Fed’s data-dependent stance and emphasis on upside inflation risks in the April FOMC minutes. Futures markets now price modest tightening to around 3.8% by year-end, yet the 59.5% probability of no hike in 2026 reflects the view that any firming remains conditional on further price pressures rather than a baseline path. The June 16-17 FOMC meeting and updated dot plot represent the next key catalyst.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা