President Donald Trump has repeatedly threatened to remove Jerome Powell from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, primarily citing dissatisfaction with interest rate policy and a Department of Justice criminal investigation into headquarters renovations. Powell’s term as Chair ended May 15, 2026, after which Kevin Warsh assumed the role; Powell has stated he intends to remain as a governor until January 2028 or until the probe concludes with transparency. Legal precedent limits presidential authority to remove sitting governors except for cause, as demonstrated by the Supreme Court’s June 2026 decision blocking Trump’s attempt to dismiss another governor. No confirmed attempt to oust Powell from the Board has occurred since the April 2026 threats, though the ongoing investigation and Powell’s public warnings about central bank independence continue to shape trader assessments of the probability that Trump will initiate formal removal proceedings by late 2026.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWill Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...?
Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...?
$26,378 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
August 31
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September 30
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December 31
8%
$26,378 Vol.
August 31
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
Attempts to remove Powell from his role as chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, which do not include removing Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, will not alone qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
Attempts to remove Powell from his role as chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, which do not include removing Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, will not alone qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Donald Trump has repeatedly threatened to remove Jerome Powell from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, primarily citing dissatisfaction with interest rate policy and a Department of Justice criminal investigation into headquarters renovations. Powell’s term as Chair ended May 15, 2026, after which Kevin Warsh assumed the role; Powell has stated he intends to remain as a governor until January 2028 or until the probe concludes with transparency. Legal precedent limits presidential authority to remove sitting governors except for cause, as demonstrated by the Supreme Court’s June 2026 decision blocking Trump’s attempt to dismiss another governor. No confirmed attempt to oust Powell from the Board has occurred since the April 2026 threats, though the ongoing investigation and Powell’s public warnings about central bank independence continue to shape trader assessments of the probability that Trump will initiate formal removal proceedings by late 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
Attempts to remove Powell from his role as chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, which do not include removing Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, will not alone qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
Attempts to remove Powell from his role as chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, which do not include removing Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, will not alone qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 31, 2026, 5:47 PM ET
Volume
$26,378End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 31, 2026, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
Attempts to remove Powell from his role as chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, which do not include removing Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, will not alone qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
Attempts to remove Powell from his role as chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, which do not include removing Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, will not alone qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Donald Trump has repeatedly threatened to remove Jerome Powell from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, primarily citing dissatisfaction with interest rate policy and a Department of Justice criminal investigation into headquarters renovations. Powell’s term as Chair ended May 15, 2026, after which Kevin Warsh assumed the role; Powell has stated he intends to remain as a governor until January 2028 or until the probe concludes with transparency. Legal precedent limits presidential authority to remove sitting governors except for cause, as demonstrated by the Supreme Court’s June 2026 decision blocking Trump’s attempt to dismiss another governor. No confirmed attempt to oust Powell from the Board has occurred since the April 2026 threats, though the ongoing investigation and Powell’s public warnings about central bank independence continue to shape trader assessments of the probability that Trump will initiate formal removal proceedings by late 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
Attempts to remove Powell from his role as chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, which do not include removing Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, will not alone qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
Attempts to remove Powell from his role as chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, which do not include removing Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, will not alone qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$26,378End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 31, 2026, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Donald Trump has repeatedly threatened to remove Jerome Powell from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, primarily citing dissatisfaction with interest rate policy and a Department of Justice criminal investigation into headquarters renovations. Powell’s term as Chair ended May 15, 2026, after which Kevin Warsh assumed the role; Powell has stated he intends to remain as a governor until January 2028 or until the probe concludes with transparency. Legal precedent limits presidential authority to remove sitting governors except for cause, as demonstrated by the Supreme Court’s June 2026 decision blocking Trump’s attempt to dismiss another governor. No confirmed attempt to oust Powell from the Board has occurred since the April 2026 threats, though the ongoing investigation and Powell’s public warnings about central bank independence continue to shape trader assessments of the probability that Trump will initiate formal removal proceedings by late 2026.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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