Trader consensus on the low likelihood of a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027 reflects the absence of acute recessionary pressures or financial stability risks that have historically triggered unscheduled inter-meeting easing. The federal funds rate target remains steady at 3.50%-3.75% following multiple holds, amid April 2026 CPI inflation at 3.8% year-over-year—elevated by energy price spikes—and a stable 4.3% unemployment rate with resilient payroll gains. Major brokerages now forecast no policy easing through 2026 and potential first cuts only in 2027, citing persistent inflation and cautious FOMC guidance versus market-implied paths. Key upcoming catalysts include the next FOMC meetings and June inflation data, which could reinforce or shift these dynamics if labor conditions deteriorate sharply.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
$105,325 Vol.
$105,325 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sí
$105,325 Vol.
$105,325 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.Trader consensus on the low likelihood of a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027 reflects the absence of acute recessionary pressures or financial stability risks that have historically triggered unscheduled inter-meeting easing. The federal funds rate target remains steady at 3.50%-3.75% following multiple holds, amid April 2026 CPI inflation at 3.8% year-over-year—elevated by energy price spikes—and a stable 4.3% unemployment rate with resilient payroll gains. Major brokerages now forecast no policy easing through 2026 and potential first cuts only in 2027, citing persistent inflation and cautious FOMC guidance versus market-implied paths. Key upcoming catalysts include the next FOMC meetings and June inflation data, which could reinforce or shift these dynamics if labor conditions deteriorate sharply.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
Mercado abierto: Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ET
Volumen
$105,325Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.Trader consensus on the low likelihood of a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027 reflects the absence of acute recessionary pressures or financial stability risks that have historically triggered unscheduled inter-meeting easing. The federal funds rate target remains steady at 3.50%-3.75% following multiple holds, amid April 2026 CPI inflation at 3.8% year-over-year—elevated by energy price spikes—and a stable 4.3% unemployment rate with resilient payroll gains. Major brokerages now forecast no policy easing through 2026 and potential first cuts only in 2027, citing persistent inflation and cautious FOMC guidance versus market-implied paths. Key upcoming catalysts include the next FOMC meetings and June inflation data, which could reinforce or shift these dynamics if labor conditions deteriorate sharply.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
Volumen
$105,325Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on the low likelihood of a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027 reflects the absence of acute recessionary pressures or financial stability risks that have historically triggered unscheduled inter-meeting easing. The federal funds rate target remains steady at 3.50%-3.75% following multiple holds, amid April 2026 CPI inflation at 3.8% year-over-year—elevated by energy price spikes—and a stable 4.3% unemployment rate with resilient payroll gains. Major brokerages now forecast no policy easing through 2026 and potential first cuts only in 2027, citing persistent inflation and cautious FOMC guidance versus market-implied paths. Key upcoming catalysts include the next FOMC meetings and June inflation data, which could reinforce or shift these dynamics if labor conditions deteriorate sharply.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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