Skip to main content
icon for ¿Recorte de la tasa de emergencia de la Fed antes de 2027
Finanzas·Negocios

¿Recorte de la tasa de emergencia de la Fed antes de 2027

icon for ¿Recorte de la tasa de emergencia de la Fed antes de 2027
Finanzas·Negocios

¿Recorte de la tasa de emergencia de la Fed antes de 2027

dic 31

dic 31

Sí

11% probabilidad
Polymarket

$105,255 Vol.

Sí

11% probabilidad
Polymarket

$105,255 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026. The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.Elevated April 2026 CPI inflation at 3.8% year-over-year, fueled by a 17.9% surge in energy prices amid Middle East geopolitical tensions, combined with a resilient labor market showing 4.3% unemployment, has anchored the Federal Reserve's decision to hold the federal funds rate steady at 3.50%-3.75% through the April FOMC meeting. Minutes from that gathering highlighted risks of further policy firming if inflation remains above target, while major banks and futures markets now price zero cuts for 2026 and limited movement into 2027. This data trajectory supports the 88.5% market-implied probability against an emergency rate cut before 2027, though the June 10 CPI release and June 16-17 FOMC decision remain key near-term tests for any shift in conditions.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.

The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
Volumen
$105,255
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026. The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026. The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.Elevated April 2026 CPI inflation at 3.8% year-over-year, fueled by a 17.9% surge in energy prices amid Middle East geopolitical tensions, combined with a resilient labor market showing 4.3% unemployment, has anchored the Federal Reserve's decision to hold the federal funds rate steady at 3.50%-3.75% through the April FOMC meeting. Minutes from that gathering highlighted risks of further policy firming if inflation remains above target, while major banks and futures markets now price zero cuts for 2026 and limited movement into 2027. This data trajectory supports the 88.5% market-implied probability against an emergency rate cut before 2027, though the June 10 CPI release and June 16-17 FOMC decision remain key near-term tests for any shift in conditions.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.

The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
Volumen
$105,255
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026. The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Recorte de la tasa de emergencia de la Fed antes de 2027" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "¿Recorte de emergencia de tasas de la Fed antes de 2027?" con 11%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 11¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 11% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Recorte de la tasa de emergencia de la Fed antes de 2027" ha generado $105.3K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Nov 12, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Recorte de la tasa de emergencia de la Fed antes de 2027", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Recorte de la tasa de emergencia de la Fed antes de 2027" es "¿Recorte de emergencia de tasas de la Fed antes de 2027?" con 11%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 11% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Recorte de la tasa de emergencia de la Fed antes de 2027" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.