Skip to main content

Economic Policy predictions & odds

·
Fed decision in April?

Fed decision in April?

100%

No change

$161M Vol.

$21M today

$25M Liq.

14

Ends in 3 days

Fed Decision in June?

Fed Decision in June?

93%

No change

$10M Vol.

$190K today

$1M Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

39%

0 (0 bps)

$21M Vol.

$175K today

$2M Liq.

57

Ends in 8 months

Bank of Japan Decision in April?

Bank of Japan Decision in April?

98%

No change

$1M Vol.

$99.8K Liq.

Ends in 2 days

Fed Decision in July?

Fed Decision in July?

84%

No change

$4M Vol.

$398K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

33%

3.5%

$6M Vol.

$341K Liq.

6

Ends in 8 months

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?

91%

June 30

$2M Vol.

$53.0K Liq.

50

Ends in 18 days

US GDP growth in Q1 2026?

US GDP growth in Q1 2026?

25%

1.5–2.0%

$368K Vol.

$36.5K Liq.

Ends in 4 days

ECB Interest Rates: April 2026

ECB Interest Rates: April 2026

98%

No change

$811K Vol.

$33.3K Liq.

Ends in 4 days

Bank of Brazil Decision in April?

Bank of Brazil Decision in April?

93%

Decrease

$338K Vol.

$51.9K Liq.

Ends in 2 days

US recession by end of 2026?

US recession by end of 2026?

25%

$1M Vol.

$71.1K Liq.

64

Ends in 9 months

Bank of England decision in April?

Bank of England decision in April?

98%

No change

$541K Vol.

$60.8K Liq.

Ends in 4 days

How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?

How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?

84%

1

$68.2K Vol.

$25.9K Liq.

Ends in 3 days

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

91%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$968K Vol.

$97.7K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?

Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?

83%

December 31

$170K Vol.

$22.4K Liq.

10

Ends in 8 months

Bank of Russia decision in June?

Bank of Russia decision in June?

83%

Decrease

$22.3K Vol.

$15.8K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Fed rate cut by...?

Fed rate cut by...?

60%

December Meeting

$1M Vol.

$191K Liq.

17

Ends in about 2 months

Bank of Mexico Decision in May

Bank of Mexico Decision in May

73%

No change

$117K Vol.

$16.7K Liq.

Ends in 11 days

Germany GDP growth in Q1 2026?

Germany GDP growth in Q1 2026?

55%

0.1-0.3%

$22.8K Vol.

$7.0K Liq.

Ends in 4 days

Bank of Brazil Decision in June?

Bank of Brazil Decision in June?

85%

Decrease

$44.5K Vol.

$27.5K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Economic Policy.

Polymarket currently hosts 20 active markets for Economic Policy that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Fed decision in April?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $211.6M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “US recession by end of 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Fed decision in April?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Fed decision in April?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 100% chance to No change. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Economic Policy predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.