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Economic Policy predictions & odds

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Fed decision in April?

Fed decision in April?

100%

No change

$160M Vol.

$23M today

$24M Liq.

14

Ends in 4 days

Fed Decision in June?

Fed Decision in June?

93%

No change

$10M Vol.

$182K today

$1M Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

39%

0 (0 bps)

$21M Vol.

$180K today

$2M Liq.

57

Ends in 8 months

Bank of Japan Decision in April?

Bank of Japan Decision in April?

98%

No change

$1M Vol.

$106K Liq.

Ends in 3 days

Fed Decision in July?

Fed Decision in July?

85%

No change

$4M Vol.

$380K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?

90%

June 30

$2M Vol.

$53.2K Liq.

47

Ends in 19 days

Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?

Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?

74%

December 31

$169K Vol.

$20.7K Liq.

10

Ends in 8 months

US GDP growth in Q1 2026?

US GDP growth in Q1 2026?

23%

1.5–2.0%

$366K Vol.

$39.8K Liq.

Ends in 5 days

Bank of Brazil Decision in April?

Bank of Brazil Decision in April?

92%

Decrease

$336K Vol.

$50.8K Liq.

Ends in 3 days

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

34%

3.75%

$6M Vol.

$339K Liq.

6

Ends in 8 months

How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?

How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?

75%

1

$67.8K Vol.

$32.1K Liq.

Ends in 4 days

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

91%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$967K Vol.

$92.3K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Bank of Mexico Decision in May

Bank of Mexico Decision in May

72%

No change

$117K Vol.

$17.2K Liq.

Ends in 12 days

Bank of England decision in April?

Bank of England decision in April?

98%

No change

$537K Vol.

$62.1K Liq.

Ends in 5 days

Bank of Brazil Decision in June?

Bank of Brazil Decision in June?

85%

Decrease

$44.5K Vol.

$22.9K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Fed rate cut by...?

Fed rate cut by...?

60%

December Meeting

$1M Vol.

$193K Liq.

17

Ends in about 2 months

Bank of Russia decision in June?

Bank of Russia decision in June?

81%

Decrease

$18.3K Vol.

$13.5K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Fed rate hike in 2026?

13%

$923K Vol.

$79.4K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

ECB Interest Rates: April 2026

ECB Interest Rates: April 2026

99%

No change

$805K Vol.

$30.5K Liq.

Ends in 5 days

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

65%

↓ 3.25%

$1M Vol.

$249K Liq.

5

Ends in 8 months

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 20 active markets for Economic Policy that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Fed decision in April?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $211.6M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Fed rate hike in 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Fed decision in April?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Fed decision in April?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 100% chance to No change. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Economic Policy predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.