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Unemployment predictions & odds

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April Unemployment Rate

April Unemployment Rate

33%

4.3%

$23.3K Vol.

$24.9K Liq.

Ends in 12 days

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

42%

5.0%

$369K Vol.

$25.6K Liq.

13

Ends in 8 months

Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?

Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?

11%

$6.0K Vol.

$1.6K Liq.

2

Ends in 10 months

US economic state at the end of 2026?

US economic state at the end of 2026?

41%

Soft Landing (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation <3.5%)

$126 Vol.

$6.4K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 20​26?

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 20​26?

98%

Up

$8.9K Vol.

$1.2K Liq.

Ends in 9 days

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

89%

Up

$24.1K Vol.

$744 Liq.

Ends in 10 months

How many jobs added in April?

How many jobs added in April?

37%

0 – 50k

$8.3K Vol.

$9.4K Liq.

Ends in 12 days

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

71%

↓ 0.0014

$105K Vol.

$14.4K Liq.

3

Ends in 8 months

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

61%

June 30, 2026

$2M Vol.

$18.0K Liq.

111

Ends in 2 months

What will Bitcoin outperform in April?

What will Bitcoin outperform in April?

98%

Silver

$33.9K Vol.

$14.1K Liq.

Ends in 4 days

What price will Hyperliquid hit in April?

What price will Hyperliquid hit in April?

11%

↑ 48

$151K Vol.

$73.8K Liq.

Ends in 5 days

What price will Zcash hit in 2026?

What price will Zcash hit in 2026?

47%

↑ 600

$211K Vol.

$13.8K Liq.

6

Ends in 8 months

MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?

MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?

96%

>$600M

$19M Vol.

$502K today

$769K Liq.

278

Ends in 2 months

Who will Trump announce as next Secretary of Labor?

Who will Trump announce as next Secretary of Labor?

41%

Keith Sonderling

$36.0K Vol.

$122K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

What will Natural Gas (NG) hit in May 2026?

What will Natural Gas (NG) hit in May 2026?

62%

↑ $3.00

$1.5K Vol.

$396 Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

What price will Bitcoin hit in April?

What price will Bitcoin hit in April?

44%

↑ 80,000

$45M Vol.

$3M today

$4M Liq.

5

Ends in 5 days

What will Natural Gas (NG) hit in April 2026?

What will Natural Gas (NG) hit in April 2026?

4%

↑ $3.00

$340K Vol.

$123K Liq.

3

Ends in 5 days

What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in May 2026?

What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in May 2026?

50%

↑ $5,400

$0 Vol.

$9 Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

What will the Ethereum Volatility Index hit in 2026?

What will the Ethereum Volatility Index hit in 2026?

92%

↓ 50

$23.2K Vol.

$78 Liq.

1

Ends in 8 months

What will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit in 2026?

What will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit in 2026?

57%

↓ 30

$21.8K Vol.

$152 Liq.

1

Ends in 8 months

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 106 active markets for Unemployment that lets you track or trade on predictions like “April Unemployment Rate”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $68.0M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 20​26?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “What price will Bitcoin hit in April?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “What price will Bitcoin hit in April?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 100% chance to ↑ 75,000. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Unemployment predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.