Major institutions including the Congressional Budget Office and IMF project U.S. real GDP to expand around 2.2-2.3% for 2026, consistent with the first-quarter advance of 1.6% annualized and stable labor market conditions near 4.3% unemployment. This outlook reflects fiscal support from prior reconciliation measures boosting consumption and investment, alongside modest job gains that outweigh headwinds from tariffs and reduced immigration. Market-implied odds align with this consensus of positive growth, though escalation in geopolitical tensions or sharper inflation spikes could introduce downside risks to the expansion path.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNegative GDP growth in 2026?
Negative GDP growth in 2026?
$27,696 ปริมาณ
$27,696 ปริมาณ
Jan 29, 2027
$27,696 ปริมาณ
$27,696 ปริมาณ
Jan 29, 2027
This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP growth rate for the full year 2026, as derived from the 'Advance Estimate' for Q4 2026, with a release by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) expected in January 2027, reports a growth rate below 0. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'.
The GDP release will be available at: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product.
Only the first available GDP report labeled as the 'Advance Estimate' for Q4 2026, which provides the initial full-year 2026 GDP growth rate, will be used for resolution. Any subsequent revisions or updates to the data will not be considered.Major institutions including the Congressional Budget Office and IMF project U.S. real GDP to expand around 2.2-2.3% for 2026, consistent with the first-quarter advance of 1.6% annualized and stable labor market conditions near 4.3% unemployment. This outlook reflects fiscal support from prior reconciliation measures boosting consumption and investment, alongside modest job gains that outweigh headwinds from tariffs and reduced immigration. Market-implied odds align with this consensus of positive growth, though escalation in geopolitical tensions or sharper inflation spikes could introduce downside risks to the expansion path.
This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP growth rate for the full year 2026, as derived from the 'Advance Estimate' for Q4 2026, with a release by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) expected in January 2027, reports a growth rate below 0. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'.
The GDP release will be available at: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product.
Only the first available GDP report labeled as the 'Advance Estimate' for Q4 2026, which provides the initial full-year 2026 GDP growth rate, will be used for resolution. Any subsequent revisions or updates to the data will not be considered.
The GDP release will be available at: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product.
Only the first available GDP report labeled as the 'Advance Estimate' for Q4 2026, which provides the initial full-year 2026 GDP growth rate, will be used for resolution. Any subsequent revisions or updates to the data will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Nov 13, 2025, 4:17 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$27,696วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 29, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 13, 2025, 4:17 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP growth rate for the full year 2026, as derived from the 'Advance Estimate' for Q4 2026, with a release by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) expected in January 2027, reports a growth rate below 0. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'.
The GDP release will be available at: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product.
Only the first available GDP report labeled as the 'Advance Estimate' for Q4 2026, which provides the initial full-year 2026 GDP growth rate, will be used for resolution. Any subsequent revisions or updates to the data will not be considered.Major institutions including the Congressional Budget Office and IMF project U.S. real GDP to expand around 2.2-2.3% for 2026, consistent with the first-quarter advance of 1.6% annualized and stable labor market conditions near 4.3% unemployment. This outlook reflects fiscal support from prior reconciliation measures boosting consumption and investment, alongside modest job gains that outweigh headwinds from tariffs and reduced immigration. Market-implied odds align with this consensus of positive growth, though escalation in geopolitical tensions or sharper inflation spikes could introduce downside risks to the expansion path.
This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP growth rate for the full year 2026, as derived from the 'Advance Estimate' for Q4 2026, with a release by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) expected in January 2027, reports a growth rate below 0. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'.
The GDP release will be available at: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product.
Only the first available GDP report labeled as the 'Advance Estimate' for Q4 2026, which provides the initial full-year 2026 GDP growth rate, will be used for resolution. Any subsequent revisions or updates to the data will not be considered.
The GDP release will be available at: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product.
Only the first available GDP report labeled as the 'Advance Estimate' for Q4 2026, which provides the initial full-year 2026 GDP growth rate, will be used for resolution. Any subsequent revisions or updates to the data will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$27,696วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 29, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 13, 2025, 4:17 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Major institutions including the Congressional Budget Office and IMF project U.S. real GDP to expand around 2.2-2.3% for 2026, consistent with the first-quarter advance of 1.6% annualized and stable labor market conditions near 4.3% unemployment. This outlook reflects fiscal support from prior reconciliation measures boosting consumption and investment, alongside modest job gains that outweigh headwinds from tariffs and reduced immigration. Market-implied odds align with this consensus of positive growth, though escalation in geopolitical tensions or sharper inflation spikes could introduce downside risks to the expansion path.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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