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Ships predictions & odds

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Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30?

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30?

28%

20+

$138K Vol.

$103K Liq.

Ends in 20 days

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of June 8?

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of June 8?

78%

25-49

$6.4K Vol.

$34.0K Liq.

Ends in 4 days

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of June?

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of June?

75%

0-10

$33.8K Vol.

$69.4K Liq.

Ends in 20 days

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

38%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$6.3K Liq.

135

Ends in 7 months

Jones Act domestic shipping requirements removed by June 30?

Jones Act domestic shipping requirements removed by June 30?

1%

$52.8K Vol.

$6.9K Liq.

3

Ends in 20 days

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

43%

December 31, 2027

$498K Vol.

$5.9K Liq.

31

Ends in over 1 year

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

4%

June 30

$165K Vol.

$95 Liq.

10

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

30%

United States

$156K Vol.

$79.1K Liq.

Ends in 20 days

2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?

2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?

1%

$141K Vol.

$8.4K Liq.

6

Ends in 20 days

US x China Military clash before 2027?

US x China Military clash before 2027?

7%

$125K Vol.

$20.6K Liq.

10

Ends in 7 months

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

10%

$2M Vol.

$25.5K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

US x Denmark Military clash before 2027?

US x Denmark Military clash before 2027?

5%

$77.0K Vol.

$19.8K Liq.

2

Ends in 7 months

Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top ___?

Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top ___?

78%

50

$20.8K Vol.

$2.1K Liq.

2

Ends in 7 months

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?

1%

$6M Vol.

$926K today

$516K Liq.

Ends in 5 days

US x Cuba military clash in 2026?

US x Cuba military clash in 2026?

41%

$141K Vol.

$33.2K Liq.

4

Ends in 7 months

Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?

Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?

7%

$36.0K Vol.

$22.4K Liq.

4

Ends in 7 months

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

30%

$3M Vol.

$217K today

$232K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

China x Japan military clash before 2027?

China x Japan military clash before 2027?

10%

$729K Vol.

$42.9K Liq.

30

Ends in 7 months

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

57%

July 31

$30M Vol.

$445K today

$252K Liq.

576

Ends in 20 days

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

9%

$16M Vol.

$515K today

$549K Liq.

Ends in 20 days

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Ships.

Polymarket currently hosts 103 active markets for Ships that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $62.6M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 57% chance to July 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Ships predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.