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Transit predictions & odds

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Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

<1%

$31M Vol.

$722K today

$602K Liq.

3

Ends in 1 day

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?

15%

$1M Vol.

$658K today

$164K Liq.

Ends in 17 days

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

36%

$3M Vol.

$154K today

$262K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

55%

$598K Vol.

$51.4K today

$193K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?

3%

40+

$1M Vol.

$65.7K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Apr 20-26)

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Apr 20-26)

80%

50-74

$221K Vol.

$23.4K Liq.

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of Apr 27?

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of Apr 27?

35%

50-74

$1.1K Vol.

$13.4K Liq.

Ends in 5 days

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

20%

May 31

$2M Vol.

$77.3K today

$56.5K Liq.

84

Ends in 1 day

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30?

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30?

1%

United Kingdom

$3M Vol.

$111K Liq.

141

Ends in 1 day

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?

3%

$387K Vol.

$17.9K Liq.

51

Ends in 1 day

US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by...?

US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by...?

1%

April 30

$4M Vol.

$52.2K Liq.

173

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of April?

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of April?

93%

0-10

$199K Vol.

$17.1K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

Any of the stolen KitKats recovered by...?

Any of the stolen KitKats recovered by...?

22%

April 30

$4.6K Vol.

$84 Liq.

3

Ends in 1 day

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to in April?

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to in April?

3%

Unfreeze Iranian Assets

$3M Vol.

$257K today

$264K Liq.

140

Ends in 1 day

2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?

2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?

2%

$137K Vol.

$11.1K Liq.

6

Ends in 2 months

1k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in Q1 2026?

1k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in Q1 2026?

1%

$57.5K Vol.

$688 Liq.

4

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

9%

$1M Vol.

$42.8K Liq.

37

Ends in 8 months

Cuban regime falls in 2026?

Cuban regime falls in 2026?

21%

$182K Vol.

$25.0K Liq.

8

Ends in 8 months

Will Karrigan retire by June 30?

Will Karrigan retire by June 30?

4%

$2.0K Vol.

$3.5K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Another Canadian MP crosses the floor by...?

Another Canadian MP crosses the floor by...?

28%

May 15

$148 Vol.

$344 Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Transit.

Polymarket currently hosts 136 active markets for Transit that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $53.0M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 100% chance to No. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Transit predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.