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Traffic predictions & odds

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Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

16%

May 31

$2M Vol.

$100K Liq.

83

Ends in 5 days

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of April?

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of April?

68%

0-10

$156K Vol.

$80.8K Liq.

Ends in 5 days

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

2%

$28M Vol.

$2M today

$683K Liq.

3

Ends in 5 days

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

38%

$2M Vol.

$317K today

$160K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?

17%

$436K Vol.

$236K today

$96.0K Liq.

Ends in 20 days

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

64%

$426K Vol.

$54.0K today

$147K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

64%

May 31

$7M Vol.

$391K today

$157K Liq.

204

Ends in 5 days

Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?

Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?

3%

$1M Vol.

$58.4K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Nothing Ever Happens: April

Nothing Ever Happens: April

97%

Nothing

$65.0K Vol.

$24.0K Liq.

Ends in 5 days

Internet Access restored in Iran by...?

Internet Access restored in Iran by...?

36%

June 30

$411K Vol.

$17.4K Liq.

45

Ends in 5 days

Epstein client list released by...?

Epstein client list released by...?

7%

June 30

$4M Vol.

$59.5K Liq.

1,030

Ends in 2 months

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

61%

June 30, 2026

$2M Vol.

$63.4K today

$18.7K Liq.

111

Ends in 2 months

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

15%

May 4

$45.7K Vol.

$71.5K Liq.

10

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

23%

December 31, 2026

$459K Vol.

$6.7K Liq.

32

What will Bitcoin outperform in April?

What will Bitcoin outperform in April?

95%

Gold

$33.5K Vol.

$15.0K Liq.

Ends in 5 days

Number of TSA passengers April 27 - May 3?

Number of TSA passengers April 27 - May 3?

42%

16.5-17m

$0 Vol.

$332 Liq.

Ends in 8 days

Number of TSA passengers April 20 - April 26?

Number of TSA passengers April 20 - April 26?

15%

17.5-18m

$1.0K Vol.

$1.2K Liq.

Ends in about 13 hours

What price will Ethena hit in April?

What price will Ethena hit in April?

6%

↑ 0.16

$6.1K Vol.

$7.8K Liq.

Ends in 6 days

MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?

MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?

97%

>$600M

$19M Vol.

$896K today

$642K Liq.

276

Ends in 2 months

Number of TSA passengers January 2?

Number of TSA passengers January 2?

2.5-2.75m

$15.5K Vol.

$0 Liq.

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Traffic.

Polymarket currently hosts 113 active markets for Traffic that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $67.8M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch? ,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 98% chance to No. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Traffic predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.