Recent Kremlin statements confirm that Putin and Trump discussed a potential trilateral meeting with Xi Jinping on the sidelines of the November 18-19 APEC summit in Shenzhen, China, following their early September phone call and envoy visits. This has positioned China as the leading outcome in trader assessments, reflecting the forum's scheduled timing and Russia's public interest in bilateral or multilateral engagement there amid stalled Ukraine talks. White House confirmation of Trump's attendance remains pending, which sustains the substantial probability assigned to no meeting by year-end. Low odds on U.S., Russian, or other venues stem from the absence of announced bilateral plans or alternative summits within the resolution window, with ongoing diplomatic contacts not yet escalating to a leader-level encounter.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedChina 57%
No meeting by December 31 34%
United States 4.5%
Gulf country 2.1%
$1,069,557 Vol.
$1,069,557 Vol.

China
57%

No meeting by December 31
34%

United States
5%

Gulf country
2%

Russia
2%

Other
2%

Turkey
1%

Switzerland
1%

South Korea
1%

Belarus
1%

Finland
1%

Japan
1%

Other EU country
<1%

Australia
<1%

Ukraine
<1%
China 57%
No meeting by December 31 34%
United States 4.5%
Gulf country 2.1%
$1,069,557 Vol.
$1,069,557 Vol.

China
57%

No meeting by December 31
34%

United States
5%

Gulf country
2%

Russia
2%

Other
2%

Turkey
1%

Switzerland
1%

South Korea
1%

Belarus
1%

Finland
1%

Japan
1%

Other EU country
<1%

Australia
<1%

Ukraine
<1%
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Kremlin statements confirm that Putin and Trump discussed a potential trilateral meeting with Xi Jinping on the sidelines of the November 18-19 APEC summit in Shenzhen, China, following their early September phone call and envoy visits. This has positioned China as the leading outcome in trader assessments, reflecting the forum's scheduled timing and Russia's public interest in bilateral or multilateral engagement there amid stalled Ukraine talks. White House confirmation of Trump's attendance remains pending, which sustains the substantial probability assigned to no meeting by year-end. Low odds on U.S., Russian, or other venues stem from the absence of announced bilateral plans or alternative summits within the resolution window, with ongoing diplomatic contacts not yet escalating to a leader-level encounter.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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