Ukraine's ongoing martial law, extended by parliament through at least August 2026, constitutionally bars elections and reinforces institutional continuity under President Volodymyr Zelenskyy, who remains actively engaged in diplomacy including recent G7 summit meetings. Battlefield developments and Ukrainian strikes on Russian infrastructure, alongside EU accession negotiations, reflect sustained government cohesion rather than internal fractures. No verified reports of military dissent, opposition mobilization, or power struggles have emerged in recent weeks to suggest a near-term coup attempt. Trader consensus at 99.3% on "No" aligns with this stability, though an unforeseen rapid shift in frontline conditions, elite defections, or external provocation could theoretically introduce volatility before June 30 despite the compressed timeline.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$14,112 Vol.
$14,112 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
$14,112 Vol.
$14,112 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Ukraine's ongoing martial law, extended by parliament through at least August 2026, constitutionally bars elections and reinforces institutional continuity under President Volodymyr Zelenskyy, who remains actively engaged in diplomacy including recent G7 summit meetings. Battlefield developments and Ukrainian strikes on Russian infrastructure, alongside EU accession negotiations, reflect sustained government cohesion rather than internal fractures. No verified reports of military dissent, opposition mobilization, or power struggles have emerged in recent weeks to suggest a near-term coup attempt. Trader consensus at 99.3% on "No" aligns with this stability, though an unforeseen rapid shift in frontline conditions, elite defections, or external provocation could theoretically introduce volatility before June 30 despite the compressed timeline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Dec 29, 2025, 4:46 PM ET
Volume
$14,112End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Dec 29, 2025, 4:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Ukraine's ongoing martial law, extended by parliament through at least August 2026, constitutionally bars elections and reinforces institutional continuity under President Volodymyr Zelenskyy, who remains actively engaged in diplomacy including recent G7 summit meetings. Battlefield developments and Ukrainian strikes on Russian infrastructure, alongside EU accession negotiations, reflect sustained government cohesion rather than internal fractures. No verified reports of military dissent, opposition mobilization, or power struggles have emerged in recent weeks to suggest a near-term coup attempt. Trader consensus at 99.3% on "No" aligns with this stability, though an unforeseen rapid shift in frontline conditions, elite defections, or external provocation could theoretically introduce volatility before June 30 despite the compressed timeline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$14,112End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Dec 29, 2025, 4:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ukraine's ongoing martial law, extended by parliament through at least August 2026, constitutionally bars elections and reinforces institutional continuity under President Volodymyr Zelenskyy, who remains actively engaged in diplomacy including recent G7 summit meetings. Battlefield developments and Ukrainian strikes on Russian infrastructure, alongside EU accession negotiations, reflect sustained government cohesion rather than internal fractures. No verified reports of military dissent, opposition mobilization, or power struggles have emerged in recent weeks to suggest a near-term coup attempt. Trader consensus at 99.3% on "No" aligns with this stability, though an unforeseen rapid shift in frontline conditions, elite defections, or external provocation could theoretically introduce volatility before June 30 despite the compressed timeline.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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