Ukraine maintains political stability under President Volodymyr Zelensky amid ongoing Russian military operations, with power consolidated in the presidential office and parliament under martial law that has postponed elections. No verified reports of military dissent, opposition mobilization, or coup plotting have emerged in 2026, while recent diplomatic moves—including Zelensky’s June 4 ceasefire proposal and continued Western aid discussions—reflect unified focus on external defense rather than internal upheaval. Traders assign “No” a 99.3 percent implied probability because the absence of preconditions for a rapid power grab by any faction leaves virtually no time or basis for such an event before June 30. Though a sudden battlefield reversal or major undisclosed scandal could theoretically alter conditions, current evidence shows neither factor at play.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
$14,111 交易量
$14,111 交易量
2026-06-30
是
$14,111 交易量
$14,111 交易量
2026-06-30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Ukraine maintains political stability under President Volodymyr Zelensky amid ongoing Russian military operations, with power consolidated in the presidential office and parliament under martial law that has postponed elections. No verified reports of military dissent, opposition mobilization, or coup plotting have emerged in 2026, while recent diplomatic moves—including Zelensky’s June 4 ceasefire proposal and continued Western aid discussions—reflect unified focus on external defense rather than internal upheaval. Traders assign “No” a 99.3 percent implied probability because the absence of preconditions for a rapid power grab by any faction leaves virtually no time or basis for such an event before June 30. Though a sudden battlefield reversal or major undisclosed scandal could theoretically alter conditions, current evidence shows neither factor at play.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Dec 29, 2025, 4:46 PM ET
交易量
$14,111结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Dec 29, 2025, 4:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Ukraine maintains political stability under President Volodymyr Zelensky amid ongoing Russian military operations, with power consolidated in the presidential office and parliament under martial law that has postponed elections. No verified reports of military dissent, opposition mobilization, or coup plotting have emerged in 2026, while recent diplomatic moves—including Zelensky’s June 4 ceasefire proposal and continued Western aid discussions—reflect unified focus on external defense rather than internal upheaval. Traders assign “No” a 99.3 percent implied probability because the absence of preconditions for a rapid power grab by any faction leaves virtually no time or basis for such an event before June 30. Though a sudden battlefield reversal or major undisclosed scandal could theoretically alter conditions, current evidence shows neither factor at play.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$14,111结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Dec 29, 2025, 4:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ukraine maintains political stability under President Volodymyr Zelensky amid ongoing Russian military operations, with power consolidated in the presidential office and parliament under martial law that has postponed elections. No verified reports of military dissent, opposition mobilization, or coup plotting have emerged in 2026, while recent diplomatic moves—including Zelensky’s June 4 ceasefire proposal and continued Western aid discussions—reflect unified focus on external defense rather than internal upheaval. Traders assign “No” a 99.3 percent implied probability because the absence of preconditions for a rapid power grab by any faction leaves virtually no time or basis for such an event before June 30. Though a sudden battlefield reversal or major undisclosed scandal could theoretically alter conditions, current evidence shows neither factor at play.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题