Persistent deadlock over territorial concessions and security guarantees has kept any ceasefire or framework agreement remote, with martial law continuing to bar nationwide referendums and public opinion showing sustained resistance to major land transfers. Recent U.S.-mediated trilateral discussions following the September 2026 Russian State Duma elections produced only tentative plans for further talks without halting hostilities or addressing core incompatibilities. Ukrainian constitutional requirements for popular approval of border changes, combined with the need for at least 60 days of verified security to organize a valid vote, leave insufficient time before the December 31, 2026 deadline. A sudden breakthrough yielding a monitored ceasefire and mutual concessions could still enable a referendum in the remaining window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
2% 確率
$68,259 Vol.
$68,259 Vol.
2026/12/31
はい
2% 確率
$68,259 Vol.
$68,259 Vol.
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially passed in Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Persistent deadlock over territorial concessions and security guarantees has kept any ceasefire or framework agreement remote, with martial law continuing to bar nationwide referendums and public opinion showing sustained resistance to major land transfers. Recent U.S.-mediated trilateral discussions following the September 2026 Russian State Duma elections produced only tentative plans for further talks without halting hostilities or addressing core incompatibilities. Ukrainian constitutional requirements for popular approval of border changes, combined with the need for at least 60 days of verified security to organize a valid vote, leave insufficient time before the December 31, 2026 deadline. A sudden breakthrough yielding a monitored ceasefire and mutual concessions could still enable a referendum in the remaining window.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially passed in Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Dec 29, 2025, 4:52 PM ET
音量
$68,259終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Dec 29, 2025, 4:52 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially passed in Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Persistent deadlock over territorial concessions and security guarantees has kept any ceasefire or framework agreement remote, with martial law continuing to bar nationwide referendums and public opinion showing sustained resistance to major land transfers. Recent U.S.-mediated trilateral discussions following the September 2026 Russian State Duma elections produced only tentative plans for further talks without halting hostilities or addressing core incompatibilities. Ukrainian constitutional requirements for popular approval of border changes, combined with the need for at least 60 days of verified security to organize a valid vote, leave insufficient time before the December 31, 2026 deadline. A sudden breakthrough yielding a monitored ceasefire and mutual concessions could still enable a referendum in the remaining window.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially passed in Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$68,259終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Dec 29, 2025, 4:52 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...Persistent deadlock over territorial concessions and security guarantees has kept any ceasefire or framework agreement remote, with martial law continuing to bar nationwide referendums and public opinion showing sustained resistance to major land transfers. Recent U.S.-mediated trilateral discussions following the September 2026 Russian State Duma elections produced only tentative plans for further talks without halting hostilities or addressing core incompatibilities. Ukrainian constitutional requirements for popular approval of border changes, combined with the need for at least 60 days of verified security to organize a valid vote, leave insufficient time before the December 31, 2026 deadline. A sudden breakthrough yielding a monitored ceasefire and mutual concessions could still enable a referendum in the remaining window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問