Recent stalled diplomacy and Russia's insistence on continued operations without pause have reinforced the "No" outcome's dominance in this extended contest. Like a favored side maintaining strong form through aggressive play and refusing concessions on key matchups, Moscow's demands for territorial gains and rejection of NATO-related terms leave little room for a full resolution by season's end. Ukraine's defensive posture and refusal to yield ground mirror a resilient underdog holding its line despite pressure, with recent envoy visits producing no shift in momentum or roster changes. Ongoing frontline advances and winter plans further tilt the implied probability toward prolonged stalemate rather than a decisive agreement.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
6% 確率
$619,210 Vol.
$619,210 Vol.
2026/12/30
はい
6% 確率
$619,210 Vol.
$619,210 Vol.
2026/12/30
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Russia+x+Ukraine+2026+Peace+Parlay.pdfRecent stalled diplomacy and Russia's insistence on continued operations without pause have reinforced the "No" outcome's dominance in this extended contest. Like a favored side maintaining strong form through aggressive play and refusing concessions on key matchups, Moscow's demands for territorial gains and rejection of NATO-related terms leave little room for a full resolution by season's end. Ukraine's defensive posture and refusal to yield ground mirror a resilient underdog holding its line despite pressure, with recent envoy visits producing no shift in momentum or roster changes. Ongoing frontline advances and winter plans further tilt the implied probability toward prolonged stalemate rather than a decisive agreement.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Russia+x+Ukraine+2026+Peace+Parlay.pdf
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Russia+x+Ukraine+2026+Peace+Parlay.pdf
マーケット開始日： Nov 24, 2025, 12:22 PM ET
音量
$619,210終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Nov 24, 2025, 12:22 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Russia+x+Ukraine+2026+Peace+Parlay.pdfRecent stalled diplomacy and Russia's insistence on continued operations without pause have reinforced the "No" outcome's dominance in this extended contest. Like a favored side maintaining strong form through aggressive play and refusing concessions on key matchups, Moscow's demands for territorial gains and rejection of NATO-related terms leave little room for a full resolution by season's end. Ukraine's defensive posture and refusal to yield ground mirror a resilient underdog holding its line despite pressure, with recent envoy visits producing no shift in momentum or roster changes. Ongoing frontline advances and winter plans further tilt the implied probability toward prolonged stalemate rather than a decisive agreement.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Russia+x+Ukraine+2026+Peace+Parlay.pdf
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Russia+x+Ukraine+2026+Peace+Parlay.pdf
音量
$619,210終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Nov 24, 2025, 12:22 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...Recent stalled diplomacy and Russia's insistence on continued operations without pause have reinforced the "No" outcome's dominance in this extended contest. Like a favored side maintaining strong form through aggressive play and refusing concessions on key matchups, Moscow's demands for territorial gains and rejection of NATO-related terms leave little room for a full resolution by season's end. Ukraine's defensive posture and refusal to yield ground mirror a resilient underdog holding its line despite pressure, with recent envoy visits producing no shift in momentum or roster changes. Ongoing frontline advances and winter plans further tilt the implied probability toward prolonged stalemate rather than a decisive agreement.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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