Persistent deadlock in Russia-Ukraine negotiations, Russia's insistence on territorial concessions in Donbas and other core demands, and ongoing military operations have kept direct leader-level talks off the table, underpinning the 91% trader consensus against any Zelenskyy-Putin meeting before 2027. Recent U.S. envoy visits to Moscow and Kyiv in early September produced only agreement to explore trilateral formats without concrete progress or venue commitments, while Putin has repeatedly conditioned meetings on Ukrainian concessions or travel to Russia. Zelenskyy's September 12 statement expressing openness to a G20 encounter in Miami if Putin attends highlights one narrow path, yet Kremlin uncertainty over attendance and Russia's battlefield posture limit near-term prospects. Late diplomatic breakthroughs or shifts in Moscow's stance ahead of scheduled summits could still alter outcomes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Zelenskyy publicly invites Putin to Kyiv for talks, rejecting Moscow and Belarus venues
Zelenskyy challenged Putin to meet in Kyiv, refusing to travel to Moscow or Belarus, framing Russia as the aggressor and Belarus as an accomplice. This bold invitation highlighted the deep venue disagreements and continued diplomatic stalemate.
Zelenskyy sees no fast end to war after talks with US envoys; territorial issues remain
No meeting before 2027 rises to 93%1%
After talks with US envoys, Zelenskyy indicated that territorial disputes and peace negotiations remain unresolved and should be settled at the leader level. The ongoing conflict and diplomatic stalemate reinforced market expectations that no meeting would occur before 2027.


















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