Recent national polls place President Trump’s job approval in the mid-to-high 30s, with averages from RealClearPolitics, the New York Times, and Silver Bulletin near 38–39 percent and individual surveys ranging from 33 to 40 percent as of early September. Trader prices cluster tightly around 37–39 percent because the most recent releases show little movement, reflecting persistent economic dissatisfaction and mixed views on trade policy and foreign engagements. Stable partisan breakdowns, with Republican support holding in the mid-70s to low-80s while independents remain negative, further compress the range. A late poll showing stronger or weaker results on cost-of-living metrics or any sudden diplomatic development could shift the final figure outside the current cluster before the September 18 reading.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日38.0～38.4 32%
37.5〜37.9 30%
38.5〜38.9 28%
37.0未満 23%
新規
新規
2026/09/18
37.0未満
23%
37.0～37.4
23%
37.5〜37.9
30%
38.0～38.4
32%
38.5〜38.9
28%
39.0以上
22%
38.0～38.4 32%
37.5〜37.9 30%
38.5〜38.9 28%
37.0未満 23%
新規
新規
2026/09/18
37.0未満
$0 Vol.
23%
37.0～37.4
$0 Vol.
23%
37.5〜37.9
$0 Vol.
30%
38.0～38.4
$0 Vol.
32%
38.5〜38.9
$0 Vol.
28%
39.0以上
$0 Vol.
22%
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 18, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent national polls place President Trump’s job approval in the mid-to-high 30s, with averages from RealClearPolitics, the New York Times, and Silver Bulletin near 38–39 percent and individual surveys ranging from 33 to 40 percent as of early September. Trader prices cluster tightly around 37–39 percent because the most recent releases show little movement, reflecting persistent economic dissatisfaction and mixed views on trade policy and foreign engagements. Stable partisan breakdowns, with Republican support holding in the mid-70s to low-80s while independents remain negative, further compress the range. A late poll showing stronger or weaker results on cost-of-living metrics or any sudden diplomatic development could shift the final figure outside the current cluster before the September 18 reading.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 18, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
マーケット開始日： Sep 11, 2026, 5:48 PM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/09/18マーケット開始日
Sep 11, 2026, 5:48 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 18, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent national polls place President Trump’s job approval in the mid-to-high 30s, with averages from RealClearPolitics, the New York Times, and Silver Bulletin near 38–39 percent and individual surveys ranging from 33 to 40 percent as of early September. Trader prices cluster tightly around 37–39 percent because the most recent releases show little movement, reflecting persistent economic dissatisfaction and mixed views on trade policy and foreign engagements. Stable partisan breakdowns, with Republican support holding in the mid-70s to low-80s while independents remain negative, further compress the range. A late poll showing stronger or weaker results on cost-of-living metrics or any sudden diplomatic development could shift the final figure outside the current cluster before the September 18 reading.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 18, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
音量
$0終了日
2026/09/18マーケット開始日
Sep 11, 2026, 5:48 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Recent national polls place President Trump’s job approval in the mid-to-high 30s, with averages from RealClearPolitics, the New York Times, and Silver Bulletin near 38–39 percent and individual surveys ranging from 33 to 40 percent as of early September. Trader prices cluster tightly around 37–39 percent because the most recent releases show little movement, reflecting persistent economic dissatisfaction and mixed views on trade policy and foreign engagements. Stable partisan breakdowns, with Republican support holding in the mid-70s to low-80s while independents remain negative, further compress the range. A late poll showing stronger or weaker results on cost-of-living metrics or any sudden diplomatic development could shift the final figure outside the current cluster before the September 18 reading.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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