Recent diplomatic engagement has positioned a Xi Jinping visit to the United States in fall 2026 as the primary driver behind the 90.5% implied probability. Following the May 2026 Trump-Xi summit in Beijing—the first such U.S. presidential trip to China since 2017—official statements from the White House and Chinese readout confirmed a reciprocal state visit invitation to Washington, with September 2026 cited as the target window. This builds on earlier 2025 agreements for regular leader interactions and mutual hosting of G20 and APEC events. Traders price the outcome at these levels due to the explicit scheduling and shared interest in stabilizing bilateral ties ahead of 2027, though late shifts in U.S.-China relations or scheduling changes remain possible resolution factors before year-end.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
$369,634 Vol.
$369,634 Vol.
はい
$369,634 Vol.
$369,634 Vol.
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Xi Jinping physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States. Whether or not Xi Jinping enters US airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the US or China, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
マーケット開始日: Feb 13, 2026, 4:39 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Xi Jinping physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States. Whether or not Xi Jinping enters US airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the US or China, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Recent diplomatic engagement has positioned a Xi Jinping visit to the United States in fall 2026 as the primary driver behind the 90.5% implied probability. Following the May 2026 Trump-Xi summit in Beijing—the first such U.S. presidential trip to China since 2017—official statements from the White House and Chinese readout confirmed a reciprocal state visit invitation to Washington, with September 2026 cited as the target window. This builds on earlier 2025 agreements for regular leader interactions and mutual hosting of G20 and APEC events. Traders price the outcome at these levels due to the explicit scheduling and shared interest in stabilizing bilateral ties ahead of 2027, though late shifts in U.S.-China relations or scheduling changes remain possible resolution factors before year-end.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
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