**Weak domestic demand, soft consumption, and recent CPI prints around 0.5-1.0% have anchored trader expectations for China's 2026 annual inflation near the 0.6-1.0% range.** July 2026 CPI eased to 0.5% year-on-year amid declining food prices (notably pork) and moderating non-food components, falling short of forecasts, while core inflation held near 0.9%. First-half readings averaged about 1.0%, with energy-driven imported pressures from earlier Middle East supply issues fading after fuel-price adjustments. Forecasters, including the ADB at 0.6% and base-case projections near 0.8%, cite persistent property-sector drag, ample supply, and cautious household spending as constraints on broader price gains, even as pro-consumption policies and service demand provide modest support. This combination of subdued activity and contained external cost pass-through keeps the narrow band favored over both lower deflation risks and higher outcomes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日0.6~1.0% 60%
0.1~0.5% 18.9%
1.1~1.5% 11%
2.0~2.4% 4.8%
$73,976 Vol.
$73,976 Vol.
<-1.0%
3%
-0.9~-0.5%
1%
-0.4~0.0%
3%
0.1~0.5%
19%
0.6~1.0%
60%
1.1~1.5%
11%
1.6~2.0%
4%
2.0~2.4%
5%
2.5%以上
<1%
0.6~1.0% 60%
0.1~0.5% 18.9%
1.1~1.5% 11%
2.0~2.4% 4.8%
$73,976 Vol.
$73,976 Vol.
<-1.0%
3%
-0.9~-0.5%
1%
-0.4~0.0%
3%
0.1~0.5%
19%
0.6~1.0%
60%
1.1~1.5%
11%
1.6~2.0%
4%
2.0~2.4%
5%
2.5%以上
<1%
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
マーケット開始日: Jan 21, 2026, 7:27 PM ET
リゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
リゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...**Weak domestic demand, soft consumption, and recent CPI prints around 0.5-1.0% have anchored trader expectations for China's 2026 annual inflation near the 0.6-1.0% range.** July 2026 CPI eased to 0.5% year-on-year amid declining food prices (notably pork) and moderating non-food components, falling short of forecasts, while core inflation held near 0.9%. First-half readings averaged about 1.0%, with energy-driven imported pressures from earlier Middle East supply issues fading after fuel-price adjustments. Forecasters, including the ADB at 0.6% and base-case projections near 0.8%, cite persistent property-sector drag, ample supply, and cautious household spending as constraints on broader price gains, even as pro-consumption policies and service demand provide modest support. This combination of subdued activity and contained external cost pass-through keeps the narrow band favored over both lower deflation risks and higher outcomes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


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